Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 150037
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Water Tank...OTHER
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
637 PM MDT Mon Aug 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A shallow inversion with light winds underneath it
will delay the development of fair smoke dispersal until late
morning. There should be deep mixing in the afternoon with
easterly winds prevailing. The best chance of thunderstorms will
be from 1500 to 2000. Slightly better mixing is expected on
Wednesday.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(50-60%) until 1200, then mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200 until 1400, then chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 15 percent early in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1400, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........33%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 3-6 mph until 0900, then
                    northeast until 1200, then east until 1500,
                    then variable 6-12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Rising to 3000 FT AGL by 1000 and 10000 ft AGL by 1300.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 mph until 0900, then west 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
                    good.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

CWR.................5 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........65%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 4-7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL lowering to 2000 ft AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then fair until 2000, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........4 low.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(50-60%) until 1200, then mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........32%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 4-8 mph until 0900. northeast 5-10
                    mph after 1200. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Rising to 3000 ft AGL by 0900 and 9000 ft AGL
                    by 1200.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1100, then
                    good.
Haines Index........3 very low.


Fire Weather Table for Water Tank.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

08/14-06 47  2  0 62 46  NW  3  3 4 1          970   W  9  8002 P
08/14-07 47  2  0 63 44 WSW  5  5 4 1         1659   W  9 14023 P
08/14-08 31  2  0 71 42 WSW  9  9 4 1         2348   W 10 20328 P
08/14-09 24  2  0 76 30   S  7  7 4 1         3037   W 10 26917 P
08/14-10 24  2  0 76 37   CALM  1 4 1         6236   W 10 53466  F
08/14-11 24  3  1 78 30   E  5  5 4 1         9434   W  9 78173   G
08/14-12 44 16  3 79 29 ESE  6  6 4 3        12632 WNW  9101036    V
08/14-13 44 16  3 80 29 SSE  6  6 4 3        12459   W  8 89192   G
08/14-14 44 16  3 81 28   S  7  7 4 3        12286   W  7 77639   G
08/14-15 70 30  9 82 27 SSW  7  7 4 4        12112 WSW  6 66377   G
08/14-16 75 30  9 80 31 SSW  8  8 3 4         9039 WSW 12 90428   G
08/14-17 75 30  9 77 35  SW  9  9 3 4         5966 SSW 17 89544   G
08/14-18 79 27  7 74 40 WSW  9 14 2 4         2894 SSW 23 57909  F
08/14-19 79 24  5 71 44 WSW  9  9 3 3         2281 SSW 18 37182 P
08/14-20 79 21  4 68 48  SW  8  8 3 3         1668 SSW 15 21003 P
08/14-21 78 16  3 66 50  SW  7  7 3 3         1056  SW 10  9372 P
08/14-22 78 16  3 64 54  SW  7  7 3 3         1036  SW  9  8304 P
08/14-23 78 16  3 64 54 WSW  6  6 3 3         1017  SW  8  7269 P
08/15-00 50  6  1 63 56 WSW  6  6 3 1          998  SW  7  6268 P
08/15-01 50  6  1 62 57 WSW  6  6 3 1          972 WSW  7  6242 P
08/15-02 50  6  1 61 59   W  6  6 3 1          946   W  8  6209 P
08/15-03 43  6  1 60 60   W  6  6 3 1          920   W  8  6169 P
08/15-04 43  6  1 58 63   W  6  6 3 1          928   W  7  5678 P
08/15-05 43  6  1 57 64   W  5  5 3 1          936   W  7  5177 P
08/15-06 44  2  0 57 64   W  5  5 3 1          944   W  6  4667 P
08/15-07 44  2  0 60 61 WNW  5  5 3 1         1356  SW  6  6557 P
08/15-08 44  2  0 63 59   N  5  5 3 1         1767  SE  6  8359 P
08/15-09 44  2  0 68 53 NNE  5  5 3 1         2179   E  6 10075 P
08/15-10 44  2  0 71 47  NE  5  5 3 1         4346 ESE  7 27574 P
08/15-11 57  2  0 74 41 ENE  5  5 3 1         6513 SSW  9 52530  F
08/15-12 65 24  5 76 37   E  5  5 3 3         8681 WSW 12 84943   G
08/15-13 65 27  7 78 35   E  5  5 3 4         9378 WSW 10 89040   G
08/15-14 65 33 12 79 33 SSE  6  6 3 4        10076  SW 10 92731   G
08/15-15 65 36 14 79 34   S  6  6 3 4        10773 SSW 10 96017   G
08/15-16 65 36 14 78 35   S  6  6 3 4         9778 SSW 10 84899   G
08/15-17 65 36 14 76 38 SSW  7  7 3 4         8782  SW  9 74238   G
08/15-18 73 16  3 74 41 SSW  7  7 3 3         7787 WSW  9 64035   G
08/15-19 73 16  3 71 43  SW  6  6 3 3         5873 WSW  9 49819  F
08/15-20 73 16  3 68 45 WSW  5  5 4 3         3960   W 10 34612 P
08/15-21 73 16  3 65 48   W  5  5 4 3         2046   W 10 17556 P
08/15-22 73 16  3 64 48   W  5  5 4 3         2086  NW  8 15490 P
08/15-23 73 16  3 63 49  NW  5  5 3 3         2126   N  7 13332 P
08/16-00 61  1  0 62 50 NNW  5  5 3 1         2166 NNE  6 11081 P
08/16-01 61  1  0 60 52  NW  5  5 3 1         1915   N  6  9573 P
08/16-02 61  1  0 58 55   W  3  3 3 1         1664 WNW  6  8124 P
08/16-03 61  1  0 56 59 WSW  3  3 3 1         1413 WSW  6  6734 P
08/16-04 61  1  0 55 62 WSW  3  3 3 1         1484   W  7  8816 P
08/16-05 61  1  0 54 65 WSW  5  5 3 1         1555 WNW  8 11064 P
08/16-06 50  4  1 55 64 WSW  5  5 2 1         1625 WNW  9 13478 P
08/16-07 50  4  1 58 59   W  5  5 2 1         3133 WNW 10 27127 P
08/16-08 50  4  1 62 54   W  3  3 2 1         4641  NW 10 41874  F
08/16-09 50  4  1 65 50 WNW  3  3 2 1         6150 NNW 10 57720  F
08/16-10 50  4  1 68 46  NW  3  3 2 1         7358  NW 10 64221   G
08/16-11 50  4  1 70 44   N  3  3 3 1         8566  NW  9 69133   G
08/16-12 67 23  5 72 41  NE  5  5 3 3         9774  NW  8 72456   G
08/16-13 67 23  5 74 37  NE  6  6 3 3        10115  NW  9 79613   G
08/16-14 67 23  5 76 34 NNE  7  7 3 3        10457  NW  9 87082   G
08/16-15 67 23  5 77 32 NNE  7  7 3 3        10798  NW 10 94863   G
08/16-16 67 23  5 76 33 NNE  7  7 3 3         9460  NW  8 69629   G
08/16-17 67 23  5 75 35 NNE  7  7 3 3         8121  NW  7 48208  F
08/16-18 67 14  3 72 39  NE  6  6 3 2         6783  NW  6 30600 P
08/16-19 67 14  3 69 43  NE  5  5 3 2         5418   W  5 24241 P
08/16-20 67 14  3 67 46  NE  3  3 3 2         4053  SW  5 17984 P
08/16-21 67 14  3 65 48  NE  2  2 3 2         2689   S  5 11828 P
08/16-22 67 14  3 63 51   N  2  2 3 2         2279   S  6 12322 P
08/16-23 67 14  3 62 52   W  3  3 3 2         1869   S  7 11991 P
08/17-00 50  7  1 61 54 WSW  5  5 3 1         1460   S  8 10834 P
08/17-01 50  7  1 60 55 WSW  6  6 3 1         1358 SSW  8  9945 P
08/17-02 50  7  1 58 58 WSW  7  7 3 1         1256 SSW  8  9076 P
08/17-03 50  7  1 56 62   W  7  7 3 1         1155  SW  8  8228 P
08/17-04 50  7  1 54 65   W  7  7 4 1         1140 WSW  8  7720 P
08/17-05 50  7  1 53 66   W  6  6 4 1         1126   W  7  7223 P
08/17-06 41  3  1 54 64   W  5  5 5 1         1111 WNW  7  6735 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...Michael Smith
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1714396.0/BOU



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