Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 240014
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Ouzel...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
614 PM MDT Fri Jun 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 MDT on June 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and moist tonight with light winds and poor smoke dispersal.
No chance of precipitation. On Saturday light winds should
continue most of the day and remain reasonably moist throughout
the heat of the day. Only a slight chance of a thunderstorm after
4 PM. Any thunderstorms that form should move Northwest to
Southeast and generate brief gusty winds 20-30 mph or so.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(60-65%) until 2400, then partly
                    cloudy(50-60%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........93%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4-5 mph until 2400, then south 4-8
                    mph until 0300, then variable up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......2600-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph until 2400, then south.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1100 until 1200, then slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........40%.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 0900, then northeast
                    6-7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......3400-4400 ft AGL until 1200, then 6100-7100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1300, then fair.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(50-60%). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........91%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5-6 mph until 2400, then
                    variable up to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......6100-6900 ft AGL until 2000. 2300-3300 ft AGL
                    after 2400.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph until 2400, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50.
Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds 5-6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds around 5 mph.


Fire Weather Table for Ouzel.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

06/23-19 68  7  1 56 69 ENE  6  6 2 1         3842 ENE  7 24877 P
06/23-20 66  7  1 57 67   E  5  5 2 1         3696  NE  7 23117 P
06/23-21 64  7  1 55 72   E  3  3 2 1         3549  NE  7 21422 P
06/23-22 62  7  1 53 76 ESE  3  3 2 1         3512  NE  6 17247 P
06/23-23 60  6  1 52 78 SSE  3  3 2 1         3474 ENE  5 13156 P
06/24-00 56  4  1 51 80   S  3  3 2 1         3437 ENE  3  9150 P
06/24-01 56  4  1 50 82   S  3  3 2 1         3339   E  3  9615 P
06/24-02 58  4  1 49 84 SSW  3  3 2 1         3241   S  3 10037 P
06/24-03 58  3  1 47 89 SSW  3  3 2 1         3143 SSW  3 10417 P
06/24-04 57  2  0 46 91  SW  3  3 2 1         2793 SSW  3  9433 P
06/24-05 53  2  0 45 93   W  2  2 2 1         2442 SSW  3  8405 P
06/24-06 42  2  0 46 89   W  2  2 2 1         2091 SSW  5  7332 P
06/24-07 37  2  0 49 82 WNW  2  2 2 1         2459 SSE  3  8505 P
06/24-08 35  2  0 53 74 NNW  2  2 2 1         2826   E  3  9643 P
06/24-09 34  3  1 58 64   N  2  2 2 1         3193  NE  3 10747 P
06/24-10 37  7  1 63 54   N  5  5 2 1         4082  NE  5 17322 P
06/24-11 41 11  2 67 46 NNE  6  6 2 1         4970  NE  6 25457 P
06/24-12 48 15  3 70 41  NE  8 13 2 3         5859 ENE  7 35152 P
06/24-13 50 16  3 71 40  NE  8 13 2 3         6303 ENE  7 40438  F
06/24-14 51 17  3 71 41 ENE  8 13 3 3         6748 ENE  8 46092  F
06/24-15 51 18  4 70 42 ENE  8 13 3 3         7192 ENE  8 52116  F
06/24-16 50 19  4 69 43 ENE  8 13 3 3         7108  NE  8 48622  F
06/24-17 49 22  4 68 42  NE  9 15 2 3         7023 NNE  8 46927  F
06/24-18 57 24  5 67 42  NE  9 15 2 3         6939 NNE  8 45258  F
06/24-19 57 24  5 65 48  NE  8 13 2 3         6130 NNE  8 44072  F
06/24-20 57 24  5 62 56  NE  7  7 2 3         5322   N  9 41807  F
06/24-21 57 24  5 59 64  NE  6  6 2 3         4513   N 10 38465 P
06/24-22 57 24  5 57 70  NE  5  5 2 3         4142   N  7 25643 P
06/24-23 57 24  5 55 75 ENE  5  5 2 3         3771   N  5 14551 P
06/25-00 52  8  2 54 77 ENE  3  3 2 1         3400 NNW  2  5191 P
06/25-01 52  8  2 52 83   E  2  2 2 1         3117 WNW  2  7086 P
06/25-02 52  8  2 51 87 SSE  2  2 2 1         2833  SW  3  8558 P
06/25-03 52  8  2 50 89   S  2  2 2 1         2550   S  5  9607 P
06/25-04 52  8  2 49 90 SSW  2  2 2 1         2325   S  5 10011 P
06/25-05 52  8  2 48 91  SW  3  3 2 1         2099 SSW  6 10172 P
06/25-06 51  8  2 49 86  SW  3  3 2 1         1874 SSW  6 10090 P
06/25-07 51  8  2 51 82   S  3  3 2 1         2811 SSW  6 12851 P
06/25-08 51  8  2 55 73 ESE  2  2 2 1         3748   S  5 14087 P
06/25-09 51  8  2 60 62   E  2  2 2 1         4686 SSE  3 13799 P
06/25-10 51  8  2 65 51   E  3  3 2 1         6032  SE  2 13682 P
06/25-11 51  8  2 69 42   E  5  5 2 1         7378   E  2 11743 P
06/25-12 57 22  4 73 35   E  6  6 2 3         8725   CALM  7981 P
06/25-13 57 22  4 74 34   E  7  7 2 3         8981   E  2 14712 P
06/25-14 57 22  4 74 35   E  8  8 2 3         9237   E  2 21814 P
06/25-15 57 22  4 74 36   E  8 13 2 3         9493   E  3 29286 P
06/25-16 57 22  4 73 37   E  8 13 2 3         9071   E  3 26655 P
06/25-17 57 22  4 73 37   E  8  8 2 3         8649   E  3 24148 P
06/25-18 54 15  3 71 39   E  7  7 2 3         8227   E  3 21764 P
06/25-19 54 15  3 68 44   E  6  6 2 3         7360   E  3 21839 P
06/25-20 55 15  3 65 50 ENE  5  5 3 3         6493   E  3 21356 P
06/25-21 55 15  3 61 58 ENE  3  3 3 3         5627   E  5 20315 P
06/25-22 52 15  3 59 62   E  2  2 3 3         4568 ESE  5 18534 P
06/25-23 48 15  3 58 65   S  2  2 2 3         3510 SSE  6 15807 P
06/26-00 45  6  1 57 67  SW  2  2 2 1         2452   S  6 12136 P
06/26-01 44  6  1 55 71  SW  3  3 2 1         2194   S  7 13879 P
06/26-02 44  6  1 54 73  SW  3  3 3 1         1937 SSW  9 14915 P
06/26-03 43  6  1 52 77  SW  5  5 3 1         1680  SW 10 15245 P
06/26-04 38  6  1 51 78  SW  5  5 3 1         1466  SW  9 11595 P
06/26-05 34  6  1 50 80 WSW  3  3 4 1         1251  SW  8  8443 P
06/26-06 23  3  1 51 77 WSW  3  3 4 1         1037  SW  7  5791 P
06/26-07 21  3  1 54 71 WSW  3  3 4 1         2468   W  6 12688 P
06/26-08 17  3  1 59 62  SW  3  3 4 1         3899 NNW  6 18311 P
06/26-09 15  3  1 65 50  SW  3  3 4 1         5330 NNE  5 22659 P
06/26-10 18  3  1 71 38 SSW  3  3 4 1         7081   N  5 28006 P
06/26-11 23  3  1 77 28  SE  5  5 3 1         8833 NNW  5 32316 P
06/26-12 25 12  2 81 22   E  5  5 3 2        10584  NW  3 35589 P
06/26-13 30 12  2 82 21   E  6  6 3 2        11398 WNW  3 37507 P
06/26-14 39 12  2 82 21   E  6  6 3 2        12213  SW  3 39307 P
06/26-15 43 12  2 80 23 ESE  7  7 3 2        13027 SSW  3 40990  F
06/26-16 44 12  2 79 24 ESE  8  8 3 2        11840   S  5 42172  F
06/26-17 45 12  2 78 25  SE  8 13 3 2        10654   S  5 42369  F
06/26-18 45  3  1 76 27  SE  8 13 3 1         9467   S  5 41580  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...SCHLATTER
REQUESTED BY...IC- Snider
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711486.1/BOU



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