Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 162329
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Trout Creek RX Turkey...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
529 PM MDT Mon Oct 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm conditions will persist through
Wednesday and Thursday with a flat ridge of high pressure over the
area. Mixing will be good each day from the late morning through
the afternoon hours due to the warm temperatures, although light
westerly flow aloft may only provide fair smoke dispersion.
Surface winds are expected to stay 10 mph or less through this
period. Gusty winds may redevelop by Friday and Saturday as a
weather disturbance moves into the state.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........22%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 4-5 mph until 2100, then
                    southwest 6-7 mph.
Mixing height.......4900-5900 ft AGL until 2000. 1000-1500 ft AGL
                    after 2300.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900. poor after 2100.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........9%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......1900-2900 ft AGL until 1200. 7200-8200 ft AGL
                    after 1400.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1300, then
                    good until 1700, then fair.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........26%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6-7 mph.
Mixing height.......4100-5100 ft AGL until 2000, then 1200-2200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 0800, then partly
                    cloudy(30-35%) until 1100, then mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........10%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-6 mph until 1500, then southeast
                    6-7 mph.
Mixing height.......1400-2400 ft AGL until 1100, then 6000-7000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph until 1200, then
                    southeast.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1300, then fair.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 6-7 mph. Fair smoke dispersion 1200-1700.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds 5-12 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
West winds 6-7 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.


Fire Weather Table for Trout Creek RX Turkey.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/16-17 38  0  0 67  9  NW  6  6 5 1         7301 WNW 15 96895   G
10/16-18 26  0  0 62 11  NW  5  5 5 1         6096 WNW 13 67528   G
10/16-19 15  0  0 57 13 WNW  5  5 5 1         4737 WNW  9 39044 P
10/16-20  3  0  0 51 15   W  5  5 5 1         3379   W  6 18265 P
10/16-21  2  0  0 46 17 WSW  5  5 5 1         2020   W  3  5192 P
10/16-22  3  0  0 44 18 WSW  5  5 5 1         1774   W  3  6067 P
10/16-23  3  0  0 42 20  SW  6  6 5 1         1529 WSW  5  6526 P
10/17-00  8  0  0 41 20  SW  6  6 5 1         1284  SW  6  6568 P
10/17-01 14  0  0 40 20  SW  6  6 5 1         1197  SW  7  6880 P
10/17-02 15  0  0 39 20  SW  7  7 5 1         1111 WSW  7  7083 P
10/17-03 21  0  0 38 21  SW  7  7 5 1         1024 WSW  8  7178 P
10/17-04 17  0  0 37 21  SW  7  7 5 1         1027 WSW  8  7084 P
10/17-05 17  0  0 37 22  SW  7  7 5 1         1030   W  8  6989 P
10/17-06 17  0  0 38 22  SW  7  7 5 1         1033   W  8  6894 P
10/17-07 15  0  0 39 21  SW  7  7 5 1         1018   W  7  6451 P
10/17-08 13  0  0 41 20  SW  6  6 5 1         1003   W  7  6018 P
10/17-09 11  0  0 45 18  SW  6  6 5 1          988   W  7  5595 P
10/17-10  9  0  0 51 15  SW  6  6 5 1         2272   W  8 16111 P
10/17-11  7  0  0 58 12  SW  6  6 5 1         3555 WNW 10 30297 P
10/17-12  7  0  0 65 10 WSW  6  6 5 1         4839 WNW 12 48154  F
10/17-13  7  0  0 69  9 WSW  5  5 5 1         6250 WNW 12 62423   G
10/17-14  7  0  0 71  9 WSW  5  5 5 1         7661 WNW 12 76797   G
10/17-15  8  0  0 71  9 WSW  3  3 5 1         9071 WNW 12 91273   G
10/17-16  8  0  0 69 10 WSW  3  3 5 1         7790 WNW 10 68688   G
10/17-17  8  0  0 65 13 SSW  3  3 5 1         6509   W  9 49291  F
10/17-18 10  0  0 60 16 SSE  5  5 5 1         5228 WSW  7 33084 P
10/17-19 15  0  0 55 19   S  6  6 5 1         4039 WSW  8 26460 P
10/17-20 16  0  0 51 21 SSW  6  6 5 1         2849 WSW  8 19303 P
10/17-21 27  0  0 48 24 SSW  6  6 5 1         1659 WSW  8 12031 P
10/17-22 18  0  0 47 25 SSW  7  7 5 1         1467 WSW  9 11398 P
10/17-23 18  0  0 46 25  SW  7  7 5 1         1276 WSW  9 10568 P
10/18-00 10  0  0 46 25  SW  6  6 5 1         1084 WSW 10  9540 P
10/18-01 11  0  0 45 25  SW  6  6 5 1         1085   W 10  9368 P
10/18-02 11  0  0 43 24  SW  6  7 5 1         1086   W  9  9197 P
10/18-03 11  0  0 42 25  SW  7  7 5 1         1086   W  9  9025 P
10/18-04 13  0  0 41 26  SW  7  7 5 1         1071   W 10  9290 P
10/18-05 27  0  0 41 26 WSW  8  8 5 1         1055 WNW 10  9543 P
10/18-06 29  1  0 41 26 WSW  8  8 5 1         1039 WNW 10  9784 P
10/18-07 22  1  0 42 26 WSW  8  8 5 1         1095 WNW 10  9544 P
10/18-08 30  1  0 44 26   W  7  7 5 1         1150  NW  9  9225 P
10/18-09 32  1  0 47 23   W  6  6 5 1         1206  NW  8  8828 P
10/18-10 30  1  0 53 17   W  5  5 5 1         2824 NNW  7 16405 P
10/18-11 19  1  0 59 14 WNW  5  5 4 1         4442 NNE  5 19091 P
10/18-12 18  1  0 64 11 WNW  5  5 4 1         6060  NE  3 16884 P
10/18-13 18  1  0 67 10   W  5  5 4 1         6583 ENE  5 24579 P
10/18-14 18  1  0 68 10   S  6  6 5 1         7106  SE  6 33264  F
10/18-15  6  1  0 68 10  SE  7  7 5 1         7629   S  7 42941  F
10/18-16  6  1  0 66 12  SE  8  8 5 1         6716 SSE  8 45595  F
10/18-17  6  1  0 63 15  SE  8  8 5 1         5804 SSE  9 46131  F
10/18-18 20  1  0 60 17  SE  8  8 5 1         4891  SE 10 44551  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...Mike Wicks
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717322.0/BOU



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