Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 311031
FWSCAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEEFEATER FMUCOMPARTMENT 06...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
531 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CORRECTED/UPDATED FORECAST DATA BELOW.

GONNA BE A DRY DAY AGAIN...BUT EVEN SO...WE DO HAVE
SOME FORECAST ISSUES TO DISCUSS AND RELAY ON THIS MORNING.

FIRST OFF WE DO EXPECT TO HAVE A WIND SHIFT THROUGHOUT THE BURN
TIME PERIOD.  SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING
BUT SHOULD BE TURNING OUT OF A GENERAL LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION
TOWARDS IGNITION TIME.  AS THE CENTER OF AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON...THESE WINDS ARE ACTUALLY
FORECAST TO TURN MORE WESTERLY BY NOON...THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY 2 PM.
WIND SPEEDS AT THE SURFACE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 4 AND 7 MPH
THROUGH THE TIME OF THE WIND SHIFTS. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DO MUCH OF THE SAME.

ANOTHER CONCERN THROUGH THE DAY IS GOING TO BE THE RH VALUES.  THIS
IS DUE TO THE LOW DEWPOINTS THAT WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA.  AT THIS
TIME THE LOWEST RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS
BUT COULD BE SLIGHTLY LOWER IF SURFACE DEWPOINTS CAN DROP FURTHER
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.  SLOW DEWPOINT RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
OCCURRING BY EARLY EVENING AS SOUTHERLY WINDS BEGIN SLOWLY BRINGING
LIMITED MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA.

FINAL CONCERN FOR MIXING LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON
DEALS WITH SOME MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS THAT IS MOVING INTO
WESTERN GA.  BASED ON THE CURRENT SPEED AND TRACK...THIS CLOUD COVER
COULD GET CLOSE TO THE BURN SITE BY LATE MORNING...LASTING INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

WITH THE LIGHT WINDS AND DRY AIRMASS TONIGHT...WE DO EXPECT AN
INVERSION TO SETUP SHORTLY BEFORE SUNSET.

.TODAY...
TIME (EST)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..............9   13  18  22  24  26  29  34
WEATHER COV..........
WEATHER TYPE.........
TEMP.................38  42  45  48  50  51  51  49
RH...................35  29  25  21  19  19  20  22
20 FT WIND DIR.......N   N   N   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND DIR.......020 010 340 290 270 240 230 220
20 FT WIND SPD.......4   3   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST......10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)........1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR......N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   6   7   7   6
LVORI................2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..............42     55     60     64     64     61
WEATHER COV..........
WEATHER TYPE.........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.................45     40     37     36     34     32
RH...................28     41     50     56     66     72
20 FT WIND...........SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST......5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT).........1400   400    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND.......W 6    SW 6   W 7    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5
LVORI................2      2      2      3      3      3

.SUNDAY...
TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..............58     60     70     80     83     89
WEATHER COV..........
WEATHER TYPE.........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.................31     33     44     54     60     61
RH...................78     78     57     45     41     44
20 FT WIND...........S 2    S 2    S 5    S 6    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST......5      5      10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT).........200    400    900    1800   2400   2400
TRANSPORT WIND.......S 6    S 8    SW 10  SW 15  S 18   S 18
LVORI................4      4      2      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...LISCINSKY
REQUESTED BY...GERALD VICKERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150131.BEEFE.01/CAE






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