Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 191250
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SNOW GOOSE POOL...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
750 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AT 8-10 MPH WITH RH
VALUES STARTING HIGHER AROUND 75% AND DROPPING DOWN TO 52% DURING THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE INTO THE MID 90S WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES NEAR 100F.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36  33  30  28  26  25  23  23
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
TEMP............82  85  88  90  91  92  93  93
RH..............77  70  63  60  58  56  52  52
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  10  12  13  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 28
                    TO 29 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........23  23  23  23  23  22  21  20  20  20  19  17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............92  91  89  85  83  81  80  79  78  77  76  76
RH..............54  56  59  70  74  79  79  82  82  82  85  85
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..12  10  9   8   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 28 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16  14  13  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75  75  78  81  84  87  90  92  93  94  95  95
RH..............87  87  82  77  72  65  58  54  52  51  51  51
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  15  15  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...BOWMAN
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOUIRNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160719.SNOWG.01/EAX


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