Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KEPZ 242322
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK VALLEY RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SANTA TERESA NM/EL PASO TX
422 PM MST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 MST ON JANUARY 25.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE EL PASO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL TO REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG DURING THAT
TIME PERIOD WITH WINDS PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH
RANGE. WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION HAVE LARGELY ENDED. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF COOL, DRY
AND GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER WILL OCCUR THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE FROM
25 TO 35 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON TO 60 TO 70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
VENT RATES WILL BE EXCELLENT THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND VERY
GOOD TO EXCELLENT ON WEDNESDAY. AFTERWARDS, VENT RATES WILL BE
POOR TO FAIR FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 29 KNOTS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (107900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (266600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MST)      4 PM
SKY (%).........42
WEATHER COV.....NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TSTM COV........NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............29
RH..............39
20 FT WIND......W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.30
TRANSPORT WIND..W 30
VENT RATE.......EXCL

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16.
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (MST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........16     16     16     17     17     17
WEATHER COV.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............26     23     22     21     20     19
RH..............42     45     45     45     45     47
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 10   W 9    W 7    W 6    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     20     15     15     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 KNOTS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53600 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
SKY (%).........20        20        15        15
WEATHER COV.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0         0         0         0
TEMP............16        18        30        36
RH..............53        51        32        27
20 FT WIND......NW 5G10   NW 6G15   W 6G15    W 6G15
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21      W 21      W 21      W 21
VENT RATE.......FAIR      FAIR      GOOD      GOOD

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN CURNUTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700733.0/EPZ
.EMAIL NCURNUTT@BLM.GOV


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