Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 152159
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACOB RYAN SOUTH...KNF KAIBAB NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
259 PM MST MON SEP 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1345 MST ON SEPTEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE SURGING NORTHWARD AHEAD OF HURRICANE ODILE
WILL BRING GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
DAY ON TUESDAY AND OVERNIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...AND EXPECT WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (45600 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......456.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (500 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (37000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......370.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS...BECOMING EAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...RICKEY
REQUESTED BY...AZ-WDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140915.JACOB.01/FGZ





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