Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 310023
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BERT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
523 PM MST MON MAY 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1641 MST ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MOVING ACROSS ARIZONA
THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED
HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAYTIME HEATING. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, BUT WILL BECOME GUSTY AND ERRATIC IN THE
VICINITY OF STORMS.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: ON WEDNESDAY, PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AROUND
5 TO 10 MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70`S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE LOW TEEN`S. ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY, EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 80`S AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY AND LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 9 PM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 45 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 7 PM.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......14.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH BASED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 11 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS UNTIL 8 AM. THEN,
                    BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (144800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1448.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........47 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 7 PM.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......11.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...RICKEY
REQUESTED BY...KAIBAB NF
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160530.BERT_.02/FGZ


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