Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 231808
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAILEY...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
108 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1253 CDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SEASONABLY HOT CONDITIONS AREA EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MONDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
STORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM ANY ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE A
BRIEF CHANGE IN WINDS ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
STRIKES.

WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH. KEEP AN EYE
OUT FOR NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS, AS OUTFLOW MAY PRODUCE A BRIEF
CHANGE IN THE WIND FIELD (WINDS SPREADING OUT AWAY FROM THE
STORM). BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MID WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29  32  37  41  46  45
WEATHER COV.....    ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............94  96  97  98  99  99
RH..............44  40  39  37  36  36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   3   3   3
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.9 7.6 8.1 8.7 9.2 8.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  13  13  13
HAINES INDEX....4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........43  42  35  27  20  17  15  12  15  18  21  24
WEATHER COV.....ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TEMP............98  97  94  90  87  85  84  83  82  81  80  79
RH..............37  38  43  49  55  59  63  65  67  69  72  74
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10          5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.9 7.3 5.1 3.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  12  12  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  12
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27  30  32  33  35  37  38  40  42  43  45  47
WEATHER COV.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............78  78  81  84  87  90  93  95  96  97  98  98
RH..............79  79  72  65  59  52  47  43  40  39  37  38
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5           10  10      5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 3.7 5.5 7.3 7.8 8.3 8.8 8.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  9   10  13  14  12  10  8   7   7   8   9
HAINES INDEX....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...BISHOP
REQUESTED BY...SAMANTHA HAMRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160723.BAILE.01/FWD



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