Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 181211
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST RIM PINES RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
611 AM MDT FRI APR 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST THINKING AS AN APPROACHING SYSTEM
INCREASES CLOUDS TODAY WITH A MODEST CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OR STRAY RAIN SHOWER NEAR THE BURN SITE AFTER 3PM.
SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH EXPECTED TODAY WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS AND GOOD MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR EXCELLENT SMOKE
DISPERSAL IN THE AFTERNOON. SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TOMORROW
THOUGH CHANCES LOOK BETTER FOR SHOWERS OVER AND NEAR THE BURN
SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.WESTR.01/GJT



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