Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS72 KILM 291137
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAWA COUNCIL...NC STATE PARK LAWA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
737 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF A
COLD FRONT. N WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NE BEFORE MIDDAY THEN
EASE BY MID AFTERNOON.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............46.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4370-48529 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............27     32     37     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................78     83     85     84
RH..................64     56     54     54
20 FT WIND..........N 6    N 6    NE 5   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   3900   4400   5400
TRANSPORT WIND......N 3    N 2    NW 7   NW 9
LVORI...............3      3      1      2
ADI.................16     27     45     44
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...10     9      32     49

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH LATE.
MAX ADI.............25.
MAX LVORI...........6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-27944 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............33     32     30     29     27     26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................82     76     73     71     69     68
RH..................57     66     72     77     81     86
20 FT WIND..........N 4    N 2    N 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........3800   300    BLW100 BLW100 300    500
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 7   N 3    N 2    NE 2   NE 2   E 7
LVORI...............3      3      4      4      5      6
ADI.................25     1      0      1      1      1
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...28     1      0      0      1      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6500-6600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MAX ADI.............35.
MAX LVORI...........8.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (459-22080 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............24     22     31     37     43     40
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67     69     79     84     85     85
RH..................91     87     61     49     46     47
20 FT WIND..........NE 2   NE 2   E 2    E 2    SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    2300   4300   5400   6600
TRANSPORT WIND......E 7    NE 3   NE 1   NE 1   NE 2   E 2
LVORI...............7      6      3      2      2      2
ADI.................2      4      8      7      6      29
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...2      1      3      5      11     18

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN SHOT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140729.LAWAC.01/ILM






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