Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS72 KILM 231114
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Bayfields Forest...Fork Ridge Environmental Consulting
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
614 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front dropping south through North Carolina will remain
just north of the local area today as Bermuda high pressure holds
it`s ground across the area. The front will lift back north
tonight and Sat allowing Bermuda High pressure to continue
to bring unseasonable warm weather across the region through the
upcoming weekend. A cold front will finally move across the region
early next week bringing with it a good chance of showers.
In it`s wake, high pressure from the west will ridge across
the area, supplying cooler temps but still remaining slightly
above normal.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming south around
                    5 mph early in the afternoon, then becoming
                    light and variable late.
Max Mixing Hgt......5300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 1 mph, increasing to southwest 10
                    to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Max Vent Rate.......66470 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........10.
Max ADI.............53.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  58  54  49  46  42  39  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  72  75  77  79  79  79  77
RH..............76  67  61  55  52  50  50  54
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   4   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.        5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.6 3.5 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.3 4.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  10  12  12  12  13  13
Haines Index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
VR MPH-FT*1000..18  30  36  50  53  57  66  51
Stability.......B   B   C   C   C   C   C   C
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............24  38  36  44  46  47  53  48
Aparnt Tmp (F)..69  72  75  77  79  80  79  77
Sfc pres (in)...035 035 035 026 026 026 026 026

$$
Forecaster...Hoehler
Requested by...Richard Broadwell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802408.0/ILM
.EMAIL forkridgeconsulting@gmail.com



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