Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FNUS74 KLIX 210155
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for CPT G-05N...U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
755 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Warm moist onshore flow is to continue through Saturday
afternoon. A cold front is then expected to move through the region
Saturday night.

REMARKS...
1. Areas of light to possibly moderate fog are possible tonight
starting around midnight into early Wednesday morning, but with winds
expected to remain at least 5 mph the fog will be purely the advection
type from a lowering low cloud layer if it does develop. A repeat of
these same conditions is possible Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
2. Augmentation of the winds is expected during the late morning and
afternoon hours Wednesday due to the seabreeze effect, however there
should be very little directional change if at all, and they should
remain in your allowable range.
3. Yes, winds will remain southeast tonight, and likely so again
Wednesday night even though speeds may be a bit lower after midnight
Wednesday night compared to tonight. Any thunderstorms should remain
isolated enough to not cause a significant threat of erratic outflow
winds.
4. The next chance of receiving rainfall amounts over 1 inch is late
Sunday night into Monday as a cold front finally pushes through our
region, however the average forecast rainfall at this time is looking
more like one-quarter to three-quarter of an inch during that period.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the evening. Patchy fog early in the
                    evening. Patchy fog.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............69.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height (m)...183-244 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 5 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............6.
Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches.

TIME (CST)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........79  78  73  72  72  73  74  90  78  78
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RNF RNF RNF RNF FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............72  72  72  72  71  71  71  71  71  71
Dewpoint........69  69  69  69  69  69  69  69  69  69
RH..............90  90  90  90  93  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Dewpoint............69.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (m)...213-640 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 8 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  75  87  87  86  85  84  84  84  84  84  85
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY                     SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG                     RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  0   10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  78  77  76  75
Dewpoint........69  69  69  69  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  69
RH..............93  90  87  84  84  82  79  76  76  79  82  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   8   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............68.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height (m)...183-213 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............7.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........86  86  86  86  81  73  66  68  71  73  68  57
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............73  72  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  67  67  67
Dewpoint........69  69  69  69  68  68  68  67  67  67  67  67
RH..............87  90  97  97  97  97  97  97  97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
LVORI...........5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8

$$
Forecaster...NWS NEW ORLEANS
Requested by...Scott Saucier
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802119.3/LIX
.EMAIL SCOTT_SAUCIER@FWS.GOV



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