Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 140138 AAA
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR POINT O PINES...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
738 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...POST FRONTAL AIR MASS CONTINUES TO BRING LOW
DEWPOINTS TO THE REGION THOUGH THEY ARE LIKELY WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES OF THE LOWEST THEY WILL BE WITH THIS SYSTEM. MOISTURE
WILL BE QUICKLY RETURNING WITH WINDS SHIFTING AROUND TO
ONSHORE SUNDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH
MONDAY AND BRING RAIN BACK INTO THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD BACK IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK.

FORECAST UPDATED FOR TEMPERATURE/RELATIVE HUMIDITY TRENDS

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6   4   3   1   1   0   0   11  25  25  26  26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............52  49  47  45  44  43  42  41  39  37  36  34
RH..............39  46  53  58  57  60  65  67  64  72  77  85
DEWPOINT........28  29  31  31  30  30  31  31  28  29  29  30
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE  NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE ENE ENE E   E   ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   4   3   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  5   10  5   5   5   5   10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NNE NE  NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE ENE ENE E   E   ENE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   4   3   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   10  5   10  5   5   5   5   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE ENE E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
DISPERSION......20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   2   3   4   8   12  17  36  48  60  61  62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............34  34  41  48  52  55  58  59  61  61  61  59
RH..............89  92  76  63  59  57  53  55  53  53  56  62
DEWPOINT........31  32  34  36  38  40  41  43  44  44  45  46
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE E   E   ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  ESE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.ENE E   E   ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  ESE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.1 1.2
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  13  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  15
TRANS SPD (M/S).5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
DISPERSION......10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...........4   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........62  64  69  71  71  70  70  76  82  86  91  96
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............57  56  55  55  54  54  54  53  53  52  52  51
RH..............67  72  77  77  83  86  86  93  96  96  96  100
DEWPOINT........46  47  48  48  49  50  50  51  52  51  51  51
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  14  13  13  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7
TRANS SPD (M/S).7   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
DISPERSION......0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LVORI...........4   4   4   5   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30

REMARKS...
FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FOG LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL SHOW SOME RECOVERY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...TO
ABOUT 90 PERCENT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON SUNDAY ARE LIKELY TO
REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT. NOTE...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
LIKELY TO VARY CONSIDERABLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES THIS EVENING
DEPENDING ON TEMPERATURES AT A PARTICULAR LOCATION. THERE IS AS
MUCH AS 10 DEGREES DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES WITHIN 5 TO 10
MILES OF THE BURN SITE AT 730 PM. THIS COULD MEAN 25 TO 30 PERCENT
DIFFERENCE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. THE CLOCKWISE
ROTATION IN WIND DIRECTION APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY WELL ON TRACK FROM
THIS MORNINGS FORECAST.

RAIN COULD START AS EARLY AS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL BE
PREDOMINANTLY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY
TO BE BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH FROM MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT
TO MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160213.POINT.02/LIX


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