Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 290059
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
759 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1940 MDT ON APRIL 28.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

RED FLAG WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO MID EVENING ACROSS AS A
WARM DRY UNSTABLE STATE OF ATMOSPHERE FAVORING GUSTY WIND AND
LOW RH EXIST. POOR RECOVERY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A RAPID
DROP IN RH FRIDAY AND AS A TROUGH MOVES ACROSS TO THE NORTH...
STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 29 TO 39 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (139000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (26100 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     63     59     56     53     49
RH..............10     16     17     19     24     28
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W      SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..13     14     19     28     33     35
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     45     50     50
MIX HGT (FT)....6800   BLW100 BLW100 600    1700   300
TRANS WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..20     16     20     22     31     24
VENT CAT........VYGOOD POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....6      6      6      3      2      2

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 34 TO 44 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 60 MPH INCREASING TO 65 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (28000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (313000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     51     56     59     62     64
RH..............29     24     19     17     16     14
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..40     44     46     45     43     43
20 FT WIND GUST.55     60     65     60     60     60
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 2500   5000   6700   9200   10400
TRANS WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..33     28     31     29     29     31
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 27 TO 37 MPH DECREASING
                    TO 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (152000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     58     54     53     51     47
RH..............14     18     24     28     32     38
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..42     33     25     26     27     23
20 FT WIND GUST.60     45     35     35     35     30
MIX HGT (FT)....9100   2800   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..31     19     21     22     23     19
VENT CAT........EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (201000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     51     59     64     66     68
RH..............42     37     27     20     16     14
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19     19     20     24     26     30
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     30     35     40
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 2500   5400   7700   9300   10000
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      SW
TRANS WIND SPD..15     11     13     13     17     21
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   GOOD   VYGOOD VYGOOD EXCLNT
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2      2      2      4

$$

FORECASTER...DEBERRY
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160428.GOATR.06/MAF


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