Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 221436
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for Rustler Breaks...BLM
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
936 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
This morning and early afternoon will be favorable for burning
with the combination of light northwest winds and low humidities
early this afternoon being the best time. Later this afternoon
winds will shift from the southeast and increase causing a more
erratic fire behavior but providing good overnight humidity
recovery tonight. Tomorrow southerly winds will increase further
creating poor prescribed burning conditions.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......900-2100 ft AGL increasing to 16000-16600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 very low to moderate.

TIME (MDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............62     73     83     90     92
RH..............60     43     27     17     14
20 FT wind dir..NW     NW     NW     NE     SE
20 FT wind spd..8      8      9      10     13
20 FT wind gust.                            15
Mix hgt (ft)....900    2100   7000   13900  16600
Transp wind dir.E      SE     S      S      S
Transp wind spd.10     7      10     18     22
Haines index....4      4      5      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0100, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......15300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 19 mph increasing to around 26
                    mph after midnight, then becoming south around
                    8 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........5 to 6 moderate to high.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY     MCLEAR
Weather cov.....ISOLTD    ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD    ISOLTD
LAL.............2         2         1         1
Temp............90        79        71        63
RH..............14        27        49        62
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..15        18        19        17
20 FT wind gust.          20        25        20
Mix hgt (ft)....15300     400       600       300
Transp wind dir.S         SE        SE        S
Transp wind spd.22        21        29        8
Haines index....5         6         6         5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy blowing dust in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Southwest winds 21 to 31 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1200 ft AGL increasing to 17800-18600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 12 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 44 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 6 low to high.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY
Weather cov.....                    PATCHY    PATCHY
Weather type....NONE      NONE      BLDUST    BLDUST
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............59        61        81        90
RH..............60        53        24        13
20 FT wind dir..SE        S         S         S
20 FT wind spd..13        15        19        25
20 FT wind gust.15        20        25        35
Mix hgt (ft)....200       1200      9600      16100
Transp wind dir.S         S         S         SW
Transp wind spd.8         10        29        43
Haines index....5         5         4         6

$$
Forecaster...Hennig
Requested by...Matias Telles
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704913.0/MAF


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