Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 260929
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for BSA RX...National Park Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure, which has been keeping the weather from being
widespread, is weakening ahead of a cold front, which will stall
over north Central Florida. Even with the high weakening, the
general flow is forecast to continue to be east to southeast
today. By mid afternoon, the sea breeze is forecast to be moving
inland along both coasts. They both have the potential to initiate
showers and thunderstorms across South Florida today, particularly
in the afternoon. This pattern of afternoon showers and
thunderstorms is forecast to continue through the week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent)...then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). A chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon,...then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400,...then 3.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 3600-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 37.

Time (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........51  51  51  51  51  51  55  55  55  51  51  51
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............80  82  84  87  89  90  90  90  90  90  88  87
RH..............88  85  77  70  64  62  62  62  62  62  66  68
20 ft wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 ft wind dir..100 120 140 130 140 130 130 140 140 140 070 070
20 ft wind spd..2   4   5   5   5   4   5   5   3   5   1   2
20 ft wind gust.5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   10      5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.4 2.4 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.3 4.0 3.6 2.7 1.7
Mixng wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Mixng wind spd..3   5   7   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  9   7
Dispersion idx..4   9   20  33  38  41  36  38  41  41  29  15
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    evening,...then a slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until just after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms until just after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2000,...then 2 until 0200,...then 1.
Mixing height.......1700-2700 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-700 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....29...decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms through early
                    afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms likely
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800,...then 2 until 1400,...then 4.
Mixing height.......400-1700 ft AGL...increasing to 2900-4000 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 21,...then increasing to 28
                    early in the afternoon...decreasing to 20 late
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Ippoliti
Requested by...WILLIAM GRAHAM
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1711535.1/MFL


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