Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 300124
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUMP 8...USFS HIGH CASCADES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
624 PM PDT FRI MAY 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
THE MAJOR CONCERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
MODERATE RAINFALL AND WILL PRIMARILY MOVE SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
WHILE STRONG WINDS ARE NOT LIKELY, THERE IS A CHANCE THAT STORMS IN
THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE COULD PRODUCE PERIODS OF GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS. OTHERWISE...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH
GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES EXPECTED. RATHER DEEP INVERSIONS WILL
BEGIN FORMING BY ROUGHLY 8 TO 10 PM EACH EVENING...RESULTING IN POOR
SMOKE DISPERSION OVERNIGHT...BUT MIXING WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE DURING
THE MORNING...BECOMING RELATIVELY GOOD BY AROUND 10 AM. A TROUGH
WILL RESULT IN A COOL AND SHOWERY PATTERN THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPVALLEY WINDS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON...BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 5 MPH
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
              3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING 3 IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST AROUND 4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPVALLEY WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...JOSLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150530.DUMP8.01/MFR



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