Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 302211
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
311 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1246 PDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...COOLER AND SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID AIR WILL SETTLE IN
OVER THE FIRE AREA THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER, A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
WILL LEAD TO POOR RECOVERY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THIS COULD
RESULT IN VERY DRY, WARM AIR ABOVE 4000 TO 5000 FEET DURING THE
LATE NIGHT TO EARLY MORNING, ALONG WITH A SHIFT IN WINDS. AFTER A
BRIEF PERIOD OF WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, ANOTHER DRY FRONT IS EXPECTED AROUND MIDWEEK,
AND ANOTHER THERMAL TROUGH WILL BRING DRY OFFSHORE FLOW TO THE
AREA MID TO LATE WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85 BOTTOM TO AROUND 70 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT BOTTOM TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST OF ROUND MTN...WEST TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH.
                    BEAVER CREEK DRAINAGE...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST OF ROUND MTN...WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    BEAVER CREEK DRAINAGE...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10
                    TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 75 PERCENT BOTTOM TO AROUND 60 PERCENT TOP.
                    A FEW HOURS OF VERY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE POSSIBLE BY
                    MORNING ABOVE 5000 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85 BOTTOM TO AROUND 70 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT BOTTOM TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4000-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH
                    TO NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...MIKE DEMELLO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140830.BEAVE.01/MFR







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