Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS72 KMLB 081402
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAEA 2016...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
902 AM EST THU DEC 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON DECEMBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PLEASANT CONDITIONS TODAY WITH FAIR TO POOR DISPERSION
VALUES. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE BURN AREA OVERNIGHT,
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER DISPERSION VALUES FOR FRIDAY. A SMALL
THREAT WILL EXIST LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY FOR SPRINKLES OR A LIGHT
SHOWER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING DISSIPATING THROUGH MID
                    MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 TO 22.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 2.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........46  26  26  26  19  19  19  19  19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............59  62  64  67  70  70  71  70  66
RH..............80  75  67  59  51  51  47  47  54
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   13  13  13  8   8   8   7   7
DISPERSION IDX..1   22  22  22  20  20  20  13  13
LVORI...........5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....RANGE OF 4 TO 9.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........19     44     44     44     77     77
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............62     57     55     54     52     50
RH..............65     75     80     77     74     71
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 6   NW 7   N 7    N 8    N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.                            10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   300    300    300    500    300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7    NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   N 10   N 10
DISPERSION IDX..13     4      5      5      7      9
LVORI...........3      4      4      4      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AND INCREASING
                    15 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........77     75     75     75     48     48
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............46     49     52     57     59     58
RH..............79     66     58     52     49     51
20 FT WIND......NNW 8  NNW 8  N 9    N 10   N 12   N 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     12     14     12
MIX HGT (FT)....300    600    1600   2100   2200   2000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10   N 13   NNE 17 NNE 17 NE 17  NE 18
DISPERSION IDX..7      14     36     45     49     46
LVORI...........4      3      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM RAULERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1604042.0/MLB
.EMAIL WILLIAM.RAULERSON@FRESHFROMFLORIDA.COM


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.