Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 031109
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP GSC...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
709 AM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL
ALLOW THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TO FORM AROUND MIDDAY AND MOVE INLAND
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY...WITH STRONGEST ACTIVITY
EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE MERGES WITH THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE BREEZE. LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN POOR
TO FAIR DISPERSION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. CONSIDERABLE
   AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY.......59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....40 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4800 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....WEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...20.
LVORI..............5.

TIME (EDT)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)............39  39  57  57  57  66  66  66  66
WEATHER COV........            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.......            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP...............82  84  86  88  89  91  89  88  87
RH.................82  76  70  66  62  59  61  63  65
20 FT WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  S   SE  E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD.....5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST....


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY.......91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......3400-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...11.
LVORI..............5.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)............66  66  61  61  61  50  50  50  45  45  45  45
WEATHER COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.......TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP...............86  85  84  83  83  82  82  81  81  80  79  78
RH.................67  69  71  73  75  76  78  80  81  83  85  88
20 FT WIND DIR.....SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD.....8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST....


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY.......58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                   NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....50 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL
                   1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6
                   TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX...26.
LVORI..............5.

TIME (EDT)         6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)............45  45  56  56  56  56  56  56  64  64  64  64
WEATHER COV........        SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.......        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP...............78  78  79  82  85  89  89  90  91  89  88  86
RH.................89  91  87  79  71  64  63  60  58  60  62  63
20 FT WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD.....7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST....

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150903.JDSPG.01/MLB


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