Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
000
FNUS72 KMLB 291046
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for WATER PLANT WILDFIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
646 AM EDT Mon May 29 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0700 EDT on May 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Northwest winds this morning at 5 to 10 mph will continue into
early to mid afternoon before winds switch to the east at 10 to 15 mph
by late afternoon with east coast sea breeze. A relatively dry airmass
will allow for scattered cumulus but showers or thunderstorms are
not expected. Winds tonight will be from the southeast in the evening
and then become light south-southwest overnight. On Tuesday light
south to southwest winds in the morning will become southeast in the
afternoon with the east coast sea breeze circulation. Higher low level
moisture levels will allow for a slight chance of an afternoon shower
or thunderstorm as the east coast sea breeze moves inland Tuesday
afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    9 to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4700-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 28 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 23 early in the
                    afternoon increasing to 32.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  16  16  16  16  16  16  19  19  19  19
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....SMK
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  77  81  85  89  91  92  94  94  94  93
RH..............88  85  74  65  56  52  50  46  46  46  47
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   7   10  12
20 FT wind gust.                                    12  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  E   SE
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  9   7   6   5   3   5   6   8
Dispersion idx..4   8   21  31  31  28  24  20  26  23  32
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   1   2   2   2   2   2   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2200-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1000 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 13 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....33 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........19     26     26     23     20     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............90     84     81     78     76     74
RH..............53     65     75     83     86     93
20 ft wind......E 12   SE 9   SE 7   S 6    SW 5   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.15     10                          5
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   1000   500    300    300    300
Transport wind..SE 10  SE 13  SE 8   S 5    SW 5   SW 3
Dispersion idx..36     8      4      2      2      2
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL increasing to 5600-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     28     28     28     51     51
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............75     77     86     92     95     94
RH..............91     87     63     51     43     44
20 ft wind......W 3    W 3    SW 5   S 5    SE 6   SE 8
20 ft wind gust.5      5                           10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    3300   5200   6000   5800
Transport wind..W 3    W 3    SW 5   SW 3   S 3    SE 7
Dispersion idx..2      2      19     21     23     45
LVORI...........7      6      2      2      2      1

$$
Forecaster...Volkmer
Requested by...RODNEY DURBIN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1710239.0/MLB
.EMAIL RODNEY.DURBIN@FRESHFROMFLORIDA.COM


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.