Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 201156
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 30...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
656 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED FROM THE CAROLINAS TO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY SINKS SOUTHEAST TO THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST ON THURSDAY. SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE IN THE FORECAST IN THE NEAR TERM. BRIEF
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IN AND NEAR ANY
STRONGER STORMS WILL BRING HAZARDS TO AGENCIES CONDUCTING CONTROL
BURN OPERATIONS. DAYTIME DISPERSION GENERALLY GOOD THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG MAY REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO BETWEEN 3 AND 5 MILES. SOME OF THE MORE FOG PRONE
AREAS MAY SEE INSTANCES OF LOWER VISIBILITY REDUCED TO LESS THAN A
MILE AT TIMES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST INCREASING TO 10 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO AROUND 42. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B TO C.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........49     49     57     57
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............84     90     93     93
RH................57     47     43     44
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3700   3700   7000   7000
MIX HGT (M).......1130   1130   2130   2130
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    WNW    WNW    WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      12     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      4
DISPERSION........42     42     40     36
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C
CWR...............20     20     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 5. (VERY POOR).
LVORI...............4 TO 6 OVERNIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........57     52     52     52     49     49
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............89     82     77     75     74     73
RH................51     64     75     80     83     87
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      4      4      4      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......7000   2700   1500   1500   300    300
MIX HGT (M).......2130   820    460    460    90     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    W      WNW    WNW    WNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     9      8      8      8      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      4      3
DISPERSION........36     6      5      5      5      4
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      F      F
CWR...............30     20     20     20     20     20

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 45. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........49     51     51     51     54     54
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............71     75     84     89     91     91
RH................93     80     60     51     47     47
20 FT WIND DIR....W      WNW    WNW    WNW    NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      4      5      5      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    700    3800   3800   6900   6900
MIX HGT (M).......90     210    1160   1160   2100   2100
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      8      10     10     13     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      4      4      6      5
DISPERSION........4      6      36     36     45     45
LVORI.............6      4      2      2      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150520.30___.01/MOB



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