Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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102
FNUS74 KMOB 241025
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLSP BG-B1...BIG LAGOON STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
425 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TODAY RESULTING IN SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT MIXED LAYER WINDS. DAILY
DISPERSION POOR. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY...
CAUSING SOUTHWEST MIXED LAYER FLOW AND DAILY DISPERSION TO INCREASE.
LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT FROM WEST SOUTHWEST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-640 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....LOWERING TO 12.
LVORI...............2.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............46  48  51  55  58  61  63  64  64  61  58
RH..............93  86  80  69  62  53  52  50  52  58  67
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1
MIX HGT (M).....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
TRANS WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   SW  SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
DISPERSION IDX..17  17  16  15  14  12  11  11  12  12  12
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-366 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO AROUND
                    8 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 14 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5   6   7   9   11  12  13  15  19  24  28  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............54  52  51  50  50  50  51  52  53  54  55  55
RH..............80  89  93  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5       10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2
MIX HGT (M).....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   7   8   10  13  14  15  16  17  17
TRANS WIND DIR..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   3   3   3   4   4   6   6   7   7   8   8
DISPERSION IDX..2   3   3   4   5   8   10  11  12  13  13  14
LVORI...........4   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...396-671 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34  37  40  43  45  48  50  52  57  62  67  72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............56  60  64  68  70  72  73  74  74  73  72  71
RH..............100 100 90  81  78  73  73  71  74  76  79  81
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  11  11  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0
MIX HGT (M).....0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  20  20  21  21  21  21  21  22  22  22  22
TRANS WIND DIR..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10
DISPERSION IDX..24  28  35  43  47  49  48  49  49  49  48  45
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...KIERSTEN WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700697.0/MOB
.EMAIL KIERSTEN.L.WILSON@DEP.STATE.FL.US



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