Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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381
FNUS71 KPBZ 272235
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED CREEK FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
635 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1821 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. SHOWER
CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS THIS OCCURS WITH FLOW TURNING EASTERLY. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL COMES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0      0      19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61     55     51     49     48     47
RH..................35     49     56     58     62     73
20 FT WIND..........W 6    W 5    W 5    W 4    W 2    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST 8 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............37     51     60     69     78     82
WEATHER COV.........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47     50     54     58     62     64
RH..................78     80     60     57     51     49
20 FT WIND..........NW 1   NE 2   E 3    E 3    E 4    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............87     92     92     92     92     91
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61     54     51     51     50     49
RH..................56     84     92     96     100    100
20 FT WIND..........E 3    E 2    E 3    E 4    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY. A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............91     90     89     88     87     89
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................49     51     52     57     62     62
RH..................100    100    97     85     73     71
20 FT WIND..........E 5    E 4    E 5    E 5    E 6    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     15

$$
FORECASTER...FRIES
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160927.REDCR.02/PBZ



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