Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS71 KPBZ 210927
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GORMAN SUMMIT-RX...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
527 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE TODAY WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS. A
COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING WEST 7 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............18     20     23     31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     65     71     72
RH..................41     26     23     24
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 4    SW 4   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........1300   3400   5700   6100
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   W 8    W 8    W 12
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      0      0
LAL.................1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............40     48     60     72     84     88
WEATHER COV.........                                   CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................71     63     56     54     52     50
RH..................27     38     52     59     67     75
20 FT WIND..........SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5             10
MIX HGT (FT)........5700   4600   1700   100    300    200
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 13  SW 13  SW 9   SW 6   S 6    SW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      10     10     10     30
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............91     95     97     98     100    93
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     50     55     61     61     61
RH..................79     82     70     59     60     53
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   SW 6   W 8    W 9    NW 10  NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)........400    1000   1500   2500   3700   4600
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 10  SW 14  W 15   W 20   W 25   W 28
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60     70     70     60     60     50
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...RES
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.GORMA.01/PBZ







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