Hurricane Local Statement
Issued by NWS

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WTPQ83 PGUM 071116
HLSPQ3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON NANGKA (11W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
900 PM CHST TUE JUL 7 2015

...TYPHOON NANGKA STILL MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS...INCLUDING AGRIHAN...
PAGAN...AND ALAMAGAN ISLANDS. PEOPLE IN SAIPAN AND TINIAN SHOULD
PAY CLOSE ATTENTION IN CASE THE TYPHOON MAKES ANY UNEXPECTED
TRACK DEVIATION FURTHER TO THE SOUTH.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN
ISLANDS. TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR
MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NANGKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 154.1 EAST.

ABOUT  605 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN
ABOUT  620 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGAN
ABOUT  650 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN
ABOUT  565 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT  630 MILES EAST OF GUAM
ABOUT  465 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK

TYPHOON NANGKA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TAKES TYPHOON NANGKA TOWARD AGRIHAN...
PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS ON THURSDAY
EVENING. NANGKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED
TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER TOMORROW WITH LITTLE CHANGE
IN SPEED. NANGKA IS NOW A STRONG CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON AND IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FORECAST IS
FOR DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE TO BE WELL NORTH OF THE SAIPAN
COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION OF THE TRACK FURTHER TO THE
SOUTH... OR ANY UNEXPECTED EXTENSION OF THE TROPICAL WIND FORCES ON
THE TYPHOON`S SOUTHERN PERIPHERY COULD PLACE THESE WINDS INTO THE
SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS.

...AGRIHAN...PAGAN AND ALAMAGAN...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE PREPARED TO SEEK STURDY SHELTER IF A TYPHOON WARNING IS ISSUED.
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK BRINGS DAMAGING WINDS TO THE AREA DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHT ON THURSDAY. SEAS AND WINDS WILL
INCREASE WELL IN ADVANCE OF NANGKA AND INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL WILL BECOME
DANGEROUS BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

...WIND INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY BY EARLY THURSDAY WITH TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS COULD
LAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SEAS ARE CURRENTLY 7 TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE AREA AND HAZARDOUS FOR
SMALL CRAFT. THE SEAS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AND COULD RANGE FROM AT LEAST 15 FEET TO MORE THAN 30 FEET BY
THURSDAY.

COASTAL INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET OR MORE CAN BE EXPECTED AS TYPHOON
NANGKA APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE FAR NORTHERN MARIANAS.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

&&

...PEOPLE OF SAIPAN AND TINIAN...

THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK PLACES THE PATH OF THE TYPHOON WELL TO
THE NORTH OF SAIPAN AND TINIAN. IN ADDITION...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS
AS MEASURED FROM SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THESE DAMAGING
WINDS DO NOT EXTEND ANY FURTHER THAN 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF
THIS RELATIVELY COMPACT STORM. HOWEVER...PLEASE KEEP ALERT TO ANY
CHANGES TO THIS SITUATION.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 300 AM CHST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

EDSON


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