Ice Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FZUS81 KCLE 122151
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
450 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
...ICE ADVISORY FOR LAKE ERIE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND... WITH AN
OUTBREAK OF COLD AIR THIS WEEKEND LAKE ERIE IS EXPECTED TO HAVE
SIGNIFICANT ICE GROWTH. MORE THAN 50% ICE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED BY
SUNDAY MORNING. THE ICE WILL BE MOST CONCENTRATED ON THE WESTERN
BASIN AND WILL BUILD OUT FROM THE SHORE.

OVERALL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING MUCH
BELOW NORMAL THIS WEEKEND AND MODERATE TO RAPID ICE GROWTH IS
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY FOR SHALLOW AREAS...BAYS...AND NARROW
WATERWAYS. TEMPERATURES RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND ICE GROWTH WILL THEN BE SLOW TO MODERATE.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS LAKES
SUPERIOR...HURON...AND MICHIGAN TONIGHT.  WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST ON
LAKE ERIE TONIGHT BUT SHOULD STAY BELOW GALE FORCE. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY ACROSS ALL OF THE
LAKES...BUT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD...WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN LAKES BY LATER SUNDAY AND ACROSS
LAKES ERIE AND HURON BY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST
MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN LAKES AND BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON
ELSEWHERE.


THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS



        TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/13   02/14   02/15   02/16   02/17   02/18
   DULUTH -21   3  -9  16  12  29  15  22   0  18   8  29
MARQUETTE  -2   8  -5  18  13  27  19  28  12  19  10  28
 GREENBAY  -7   9  -7  19  14  29  20  31  10  23  10  32
MILWAUKEE   0  10   3  22  19  32  24  33  17  25  17  35
  CHICAGO   0  13   4  21  19  33  24  35  19  28  19  39
 MUSKEGON  10  15   8  21  13  32  22  34  19  27  15  32
   ALPENA  -6   3  -9  15   9  28  19  32  14  21   9  26
DETROIT     4  12   1  17  14  32  25  34  23  30  15  33
TOLEDO      3  14   0  18  15  35  24  35  21  30  14  31
CLEVELAND   6  12   3  18  16  34  29  33  24  32  14  28
  BUFFALO  -3   2  -9  11   8  30  29  36  27  31  20  32

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON FRI FEB 12:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   11 1545 1036
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   11 1270  770
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB   11 1011  554
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   11  983  538
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   11  566  345
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   11  460  275
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   11  339  172
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB   11  760  392
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB   11  336  114
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   11  345  166
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   11  183  104
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   11  432  123


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR FRI FEB 12

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  25   5
 MARQUETTE,MI  26  10
  GREENBAY,WI  25   5
 MILWAUKEE,WI  34  19
   CHICAGO,IL  36  20
  MUSKEGON,MI  33  19
    ALPENA,MI  25   5
   DETROIT,MI  35  20
    TOLEDO,OH  36  20
 CLEVELAND,OH  37  21
   BUFFALO,NY  34  18



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CASE.

$$

OUDEMAN


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