Probability of Exceed Issued by NWS
Versions: 1
000
FXUS04 KWNC 161232
POELTD
TEMPERATURE PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
830 AM UTC THU 16 MAY 2013
VALID: SEPTEMBER - NOVEMBER 2013
...TEMPERATURE IN FAHRENHEIT...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 43.3
41.6 42.1 42.5 43.1 43.5 43.8 44.1 44.5 44.8 45.2 45.7 46.2 46.7
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 47.4
45.6 46.1 46.5 47.1 47.5 47.8 48.1 48.5 48.8 49.2 49.8 50.2 50.7
3. N NEW YORK 47.1
44.7 45.3 45.8 46.4 46.9 47.3 47.7 48.0 48.4 48.9 49.5 50.0 50.6
4. S NEW ENGLAND 51.4
49.2 49.7 50.2 50.8 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.6 54.1 54.6
5. E GRT LAKES 49.9
47.4 48.0 48.5 49.1 49.5 49.9 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.4 52.0 52.5 53.0
6. OHIO 53.3
50.3 51.0 51.5 52.2 52.7 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.7 55.4 55.9 56.5
7. MID-ATL COAST 56.0
53.4 54.0 54.4 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.8 58.2 58.8
8. N APPALACHNS 51.0
48.6 49.1 49.6 50.2 50.6 50.9 51.3 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.9 53.4 53.9
9. CENT APPALACHNS 53.8
50.9 51.5 52.0 52.6 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.2 54.6 55.1 55.7 56.3 56.9
10. COASTL VIRG 59.4
56.4 57.0 57.5 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.7 61.3 61.9 62.5
11. S APPALACHNS 56.3
52.8 53.5 54.1 54.9 55.4 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.5 59.1 59.8
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 64.1
60.8 61.5 62.1 62.8 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.4 66.1 66.7 67.3
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 61.2
58.0 58.6 59.2 59.9 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.1 62.6 63.3 63.8 64.5
14. UPPER MICH 45.1
41.7 42.5 43.1 44.0 44.5 45.0 45.5 46.0 46.5 47.1 47.9 48.5 49.3
15. N MINN 41.8
37.6 38.5 39.3 40.3 41.0 41.6 42.2 42.8 43.4 44.1 45.1 45.9 46.8
16. E NORTH DAK 42.2
37.4 38.4 39.3 40.3 41.1 41.8 42.4 43.0 43.7 44.5 45.5 46.4 47.4
17. W NORTH DAK 42.7
37.9 38.9 39.7 40.8 41.6 42.2 42.8 43.4 44.1 44.8 45.9 46.7 47.7
18. E MONT 44.0
39.2 40.2 41.0 42.1 42.8 43.5 44.1 44.7 45.4 46.1 47.2 48.1 49.0
19. N-CENT MONT 43.0
37.1 38.3 39.3 40.6 41.5 42.3 43.0 43.8 44.5 45.5 46.7 47.8 48.9
20. S-CENT MONT 44.2
38.9 40.0 40.9 42.0 42.9 43.6 44.2 44.9 45.6 46.5 47.6 48.6 49.7
21. W MONT 42.3
38.0 38.9 39.7 40.6 41.2 41.8 42.3 42.9 43.4 44.1 45.0 45.8 46.6
22. N-CENT MICH 48.7
45.5 46.2 46.8 47.6 48.1 48.6 49.0 49.5 49.9 50.5 51.2 51.8 52.5
23. S MICH 51.5
48.5 49.1 49.7 50.4 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.2 52.6 53.1 53.8 54.4 55.0
24. E-CENT ILL 53.9
50.6 51.3 51.9 52.6 53.1 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.9 55.4 56.1 56.7 57.4
25. N ILL 50.2
46.8 47.6 48.2 49.0 49.6 50.0 50.5 51.0 51.4 52.0 52.8 53.4 54.2
26. N WISC 45.2
41.6 42.4 43.1 44.0 44.6 45.2 45.7 46.2 46.7 47.3 48.2 48.9 49.7
27. SE MINN 46.1
41.9 42.8 43.6 44.6 45.4 46.0 46.5 47.1 47.7 48.5 49.5 50.3 51.2
28. E SOUTH DAK 45.6
41.1 42.0 42.9 43.9 44.7 45.3 45.9 46.5 47.1 47.9 48.9 49.8 50.7
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 47.0
42.5 43.5 44.3 45.3 46.1 46.7 47.3 47.9 48.5 49.2 50.3 51.1 52.0
30. W SOUTH DAK 46.6
42.1 43.1 43.9 44.9 45.7 46.3 46.8 47.4 48.1 48.8 49.8 50.6 51.6
31. NE WYOMING 44.8
40.6 41.5 42.3 43.3 44.0 44.6 45.1 45.7 46.3 47.0 47.9 48.7 49.6
32. NW WYOMING 42.3
38.2 39.0 39.8 40.8 41.4 42.0 42.5 43.1 43.7 44.4 45.3 46.1 47.0
33. E IOWA 50.2
47.0 47.7 48.3 49.1 49.6 50.1 50.5 51.0 51.5 52.0 52.8 53.4 54.1
34. NW IOWA 49.1
45.2 46.1 46.8 47.7 48.4 48.9 49.5 50.0 50.5 51.2 52.1 52.8 53.7
35. CENT NEBRASKA 49.4
45.1 46.0 46.8 47.8 48.5 49.1 49.7 50.3 50.9 51.6 52.5 53.3 54.2
36. S NEBRASKA 51.6
47.6 48.5 49.2 50.1 50.8 51.3 51.8 52.3 52.9 53.5 54.5 55.2 56.0
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 47.1
43.3 44.1 44.9 45.8 46.4 47.0 47.5 48.0 48.6 49.2 50.1 50.8 51.7
38. E KENTUCKY 56.2
53.0 53.7 54.2 54.9 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.5 58.2 58.8 59.4
39. W KENTUCKY 57.7
54.5 55.1 55.7 56.4 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.2 59.9 60.5 61.1
40. SE MISSOURI 57.3
54.2 54.8 55.4 56.1 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.4 60.0 60.6
41. NE MISSOURI 55.0
51.9 52.5 53.1 53.8 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.1 56.6 57.3 57.9 58.6
42. NW MISSOURI 55.3
52.1 52.8 53.4 54.1 54.6 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.4 56.9 57.7 58.3 58.9
43. E KANSAS 57.5
54.3 55.0 55.6 56.3 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.2 59.9 60.5 61.2
44. CENT KANSAS 56.0
52.6 53.3 54.0 54.8 55.4 55.9 56.3 56.8 57.3 57.9 58.7 59.3 60.1
45. W KANSAS 54.9
51.5 52.2 52.9 53.7 54.3 54.8 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.8 57.6 58.3 59.0
46. NE COLO 47.4
43.9 44.7 45.4 46.3 46.9 47.4 47.9 48.4 48.9 49.6 50.4 51.1 51.9
47. SE COLO 49.1
46.1 46.8 47.5 48.2 48.8 49.3 49.8 50.2 50.7 51.3 52.0 52.7 53.4
48. W COLO 44.9
42.2 42.9 43.5 44.2 44.7 45.1 45.5 45.9 46.3 46.8 47.5 48.1 48.7
49. SW WYOMING 40.9
37.4 38.2 38.9 39.7 40.3 40.8 41.3 41.8 42.3 42.9 43.7 44.4 45.2
50. CENT TENN 59.2
55.8 56.4 57.0 57.8 58.3 58.7 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.3 61.9 62.5
51. W TENN 61.6
58.3 58.9 59.5 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 63.0 63.7 64.2 64.9
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 59.6
56.4 57.0 57.6 58.3 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.2 60.6 61.1 61.8 62.4 63.1
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 61.0
58.1 58.7 59.3 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.6 63.3 63.8 64.5
54. TX W OF ABILENE 63.1
60.4 61.1 61.6 62.3 62.8 63.2 63.5 63.9 64.3 64.8 65.5 66.0 66.7
55. N HI PLAINS TX 59.0
56.6 57.2 57.8 58.4 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.4 60.9 61.6 62.1 62.7
56. N GEORGIA 62.9
59.8 60.4 61.0 61.7 62.1 62.6 62.9 63.3 63.8 64.2 64.9 65.5 66.1
57. N ALABAMA 63.0
59.7 60.4 61.0 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.0 63.5 63.9 64.4 65.1 65.7 66.4
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 65.0
61.9 62.5 63.0 63.7 64.2 64.6 65.0 65.4 65.8 66.2 66.9 67.4 68.1
59. S ARKANSAS 64.1
61.4 61.9 62.4 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.2 64.5 64.9 65.3 65.9 66.4 67.0
60. E TX 66.5
63.8 64.3 64.8 65.5 65.9 66.3 66.6 67.0 67.4 67.8 68.4 68.9 69.5
61. DALLAS REG TX 66.1
63.6 64.1 64.6 65.2 65.6 66.0 66.3 66.7 67.0 67.4 68.0 68.5 69.1
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 70.9
68.8 69.3 69.7 70.2 70.5 70.8 71.1 71.3 71.7 72.0 72.5 72.9 73.3
63. FAR S TX 73.3
71.5 71.9 72.2 72.7 73.0 73.2 73.5 73.7 74.0 74.3 74.7 75.1 75.5
64. W-CENT TX 66.5
64.6 65.0 65.4 65.9 66.3 66.6 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.9 68.4 68.8 69.2
65. W TX PANHANDLE 64.6
62.6 63.2 63.7 64.3 64.8 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.7 67.3 67.8 68.4
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 68.6
65.5 66.1 66.7 67.3 67.8 68.2 68.6 69.0 69.4 69.9 70.5 71.1 71.7
67. CENT FLA 74.3
71.9 72.4 72.8 73.3 73.7 74.0 74.3 74.7 75.0 75.4 75.9 76.3 76.8
68. S FLA 76.9
74.8 75.2 75.6 76.1 76.4 76.7 76.9 77.2 77.5 77.8 78.2 78.6 79.0
69. FLA PANHANDLE 67.2
64.2 64.8 65.3 66.0 66.4 66.8 67.2 67.6 68.0 68.5 69.1 69.7 70.3
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 68.8
66.0 66.6 67.1 67.7 68.2 68.5 68.9 69.2 69.6 70.0 70.6 71.1 71.7
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 69.7
67.3 67.8 68.2 68.8 69.2 69.5 69.8 70.2 70.5 70.9 71.5 71.9 72.4
72. NW WASH 46.4
42.5 43.3 44.0 44.8 45.4 45.9 46.4 46.9 47.4 48.0 48.9 49.6 50.3
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 47.3
43.3 44.1 44.8 45.7 46.3 46.8 47.3 47.8 48.3 48.9 49.8 50.5 51.2
74. CENT WASH 49.5
45.6 46.4 47.1 47.9 48.5 49.1 49.5 50.0 50.5 51.2 52.0 52.7 53.5
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 49.6
46.4 47.1 47.6 48.3 48.8 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.9 51.6 52.2 52.8
76. COASTL WASH 51.0
48.5 49.0 49.4 50.0 50.3 50.7 51.0 51.3 51.6 52.0 52.5 53.0 53.5
77. E IDAHO 45.0
41.5 42.2 42.9 43.7 44.3 44.8 45.2 45.7 46.2 46.8 47.6 48.2 49.0
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 43.4
39.8 40.5 41.2 41.9 42.5 43.0 43.4 43.9 44.4 44.9 45.7 46.3 47.1
79. SW IDAHO 49.5
45.4 46.2 47.0 47.9 48.5 49.0 49.5 50.1 50.6 51.3 52.1 52.9 53.7
80. E OREG 47.3
43.2 44.0 44.7 45.6 46.2 46.8 47.3 47.8 48.3 49.0 49.9 50.6 51.4
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 52.9
49.8 50.5 51.0 51.7 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.2 54.8 55.4 56.0
82. OREG COAST 53.5
51.1 51.6 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.2 53.5 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.9 55.3 55.8
83. NE UTAH 46.4
43.3 44.0 44.7 45.4 46.0 46.5 46.9 47.3 47.8 48.4 49.1 49.8 50.5
84. SE UTAH 53.0
50.3 51.0 51.6 52.3 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.1 54.5 55.0 55.7 56.3 57.0
85. W UTAH 49.6
47.0 47.7 48.2 48.8 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.5 50.9 51.3 52.0 52.5 53.1
86. NE NEVADA 45.9
42.7 43.4 44.0 44.8 45.3 45.8 46.2 46.7 47.1 47.7 48.4 49.0 49.7
87. NW NEVADA 49.5
46.1 46.8 47.4 48.2 48.7 49.2 49.6 50.1 50.6 51.1 51.9 52.5 53.2
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 57.4
53.4 54.2 54.9 55.7 56.4 56.9 57.4 57.9 58.4 59.0 59.9 60.6 61.4
89. N CALIF COAST 56.8
54.3 54.8 55.2 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.3 58.8 59.2
90. CENT NEVADA 51.5
48.5 49.2 49.8 50.6 51.1 51.5 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.4 54.1 54.7 55.4
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 61.5
58.2 58.9 59.5 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.5 63.0 63.7 64.3 65.0
92. CENT CALIF COAST 60.3
57.9 58.4 58.8 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.3 61.8 62.2 62.7
93. S CALIF COAST 64.3
62.0 62.5 62.9 63.4 63.7 64.1 64.3 64.6 64.9 65.3 65.8 66.2 66.7
94. SE CALIF 67.2
64.0 64.7 65.3 66.1 66.6 67.1 67.5 67.9 68.4 68.9 69.7 70.3 71.0
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 65.8
62.2 63.1 63.9 64.8 65.5 66.1 66.6 67.2 67.8 68.5 69.4 70.2 71.1
96. SW ARIZONA 69.8
67.0 67.8 68.4 69.2 69.7 70.2 70.7 71.1 71.6 72.1 72.9 73.6 74.3
97. NE ARIZONA 52.5
50.5 51.1 51.6 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.5 55.1 55.6 56.2
98. SE ARIZONA 64.4
62.2 62.8 63.4 64.1 64.5 65.0 65.3 65.8 66.2 66.7 67.3 67.9 68.5
99. N NEW MEX 47.5
45.6 46.2 46.6 47.2 47.6 47.9 48.2 48.6 48.9 49.3 49.9 50.3 50.9
100. E NEW MEX 58.0
55.8 56.4 56.9 57.6 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.2 59.7 60.2 60.8 61.4 62.0
101. CENT NEW MEX 52.5
50.8 51.3 51.7 52.3 52.7 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.4 55.0 55.4 55.9
102. S NEW MEX 59.9
58.1 58.7 59.1 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.5 62.9 63.4
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