River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 281530
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1129 AM EDT Mon Jul 28 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.12 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.5
.E2 :0729:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.4/     2.3
.E3 :0730:/     2.1/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9
.E4 :0731:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.65/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.57 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.8
.E2 :0729:/     2.0/     2.1/     2.3/     2.5
.E3 :0730:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4/     2.3
.E4 :0731:/     2.2/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.53/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.09 ft at Jul-28 11:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.2
.E2 :0729:/     2.2/     2.1/     2.0/     1.8
.E3 :0730:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.6
.E4 :0731:/     1.6/     1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.54/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.93 ft at Jul-28 11:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     1.0/     2.1
.E2 :0729:/     1.6/     1.2/     1.0/     0.9
.E3 :0730:/     0.8/     0.8/     0.8/     0.7
.E4 :0731:/     0.7/     0.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.58/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.85 ft at Jul-28 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     5.3/     4.9
.E2 :0729:/     4.7/     4.5/     4.3/     4.2
.E3 :0730:/     4.0/     3.7/     3.5/     3.2
.E4 :0731:/     3.1/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.56/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.34 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.0
.E2 :0729:/     3.7/     3.4/     3.3/     3.1
.E3 :0730:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8/     2.7
.E4 :0731:/     2.6/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.54/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.30 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER WILN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.7
.E2 :0729:/     3.0/     3.4/     3.6/     3.5
.E3 :0730:/     3.4/     3.2/     3.1/     2.9
.E4 :0731:/     2.7/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.53/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.53 ft at Jul-28 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.7
.E2 :0729:/     4.9/     4.8/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :0730:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5/     4.5
.E4 :0731:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.29/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.05 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     9.1/     9.3
.E2 :0729:/     9.4/     9.4/     9.3/     9.3
.E3 :0730:/     9.1/     8.9/     8.8/     8.8
.E4 :0731:/     8.8/     8.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.49/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 589.31 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:Crest 595.40 at Jul-29 2am
:
.ER MMDN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/   593.6/   594.9
.E2 :0729:/   595.4/   595.0/   593.9/   592.8
.E3 :0730:/   591.9/   591.4/   590.9/   590.7
.E4 :0731:/   590.5/   590.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.59/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 21.44 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:Crest 24.75 at Jul-29 8am
:
.ER AVON6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/    21.8/    23.7
.E2 :0729:/    24.6/    24.8/    24.4/    23.7
.E3 :0730:/    22.7/    21.6/    20.3/    19.0
.E4 :0731:/    17.9/    17.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.68/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.35 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     4.7/     5.3
.E2 :0729:/     5.5/     5.1/     4.7/     4.3
.E3 :0730:/     4.0/     3.7/     3.5/     3.3
.E4 :0731:/     3.3/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.61/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.35 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:Crest 5.49 at Jul-29 8am
:
.ER CHRN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     4.0/     5.0
.E2 :0729:/     5.4/     5.5/     5.4/     5.1
.E3 :0730:/     4.8/     4.3/     3.9/     3.5
.E4 :0731:/     3.2/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.52/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 7.35 ft at Jul-28 08:00 am
:Crest 9.43 at Jul-29 8am
:
.ER RHRN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     5.6/     7.4
.E2 :0729:/     8.8/     9.4/     9.4/     9.0
.E3 :0730:/     8.5/     7.9/     7.4/     6.9
.E4 :0731:/     6.3/     5.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.67/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.21 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     1.5/     2.0
.E2 :0729:/     2.3/     2.2/     1.8/     1.5
.E3 :0730:/     1.3/     1.1/     1.0/     1.0
.E4 :0731:/     0.9/     0.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.78/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/   687.3/   687.4
.E2 :0729:/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4
.E3 :0730:/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4/   687.4
.E4 :0731:/   687.4/   687.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.63/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 3.63 at Jul-28 8pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.6
.E2 :0729:/     3.5/     3.3/     3.2/     3.2
.E3 :0730:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E4 :0731:/     3.2/     3.2
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.88 ft at Jul-28 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     4.9/     5.2
.E2 :0729:/     5.4/     5.6/     5.5/     5.4
.E3 :0730:/     5.2/     5.0/     4.8/     4.6
.E4 :0731:/     4.5/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.55/ 0.31/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.26 ft at Jul-28 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.9
.E2 :0729:/     3.4/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6
.E3 :0730:/     3.5/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1
.E4 :0731:/     2.9/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.62/ 0.35/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.35 ft at Jul-28 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20140728 E DC201407281129/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0728:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.5
.E2 :0729:/     3.7/     3.9/     4.0/     4.2
.E3 :0730:/     4.3/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
.E4 :0731:/     4.4/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.55/ 0.29/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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