River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 221601
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1055 AM EST Mon Dec 22 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.40 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :1223:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1224:/     2.5/     2.8/     3.1/     3.3
.E4 :1225:/     3.6/     3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.61 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:Crest 5.27 at Dec-26 7pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.5
.E2 :1223:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1224:/     2.4/     2.5/     2.5/     2.7
.E4 :1225:/     2.8/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.14/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.24 ft at Dec-22 10:15 am
:Crest 4.33 at Dec-24 7pm
:
.ER GOWN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.3
.E2 :1223:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.5/     3.0
.E3 :1224:/     3.6/     4.0/     4.3/     4.3
.E4 :1225:/     4.2/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.15/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.20 ft at Dec-22 10:46 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     1.2/     1.3
.E2 :1223:/     1.3/     1.5/     1.9/     2.5
.E3 :1224:/     2.5/     2.9/     2.9/     2.7
.E4 :1225:/     2.9/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.14/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.11 ft at Dec-22 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.2
.E2 :1223:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.4/     4.6
.E3 :1224:/     4.8/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E4 :1225:/     5.1/     5.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.14/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.88 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:Crest 4.99 at Dec-25 7am
:
.ER EBZN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     2.9/     2.9
.E2 :1223:/     2.9/     2.9/     3.0/     3.5
.E3 :1224:/     4.0/     4.5/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :1225:/     4.9/     5.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.15/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.42 ft at Dec-22 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     2.4/     2.4
.E2 :1223:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.3/     2.4
.E3 :1224:/     2.5/     2.6/     2.8/     3.0
.E4 :1225:/     3.3/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.14/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.91 ft at Dec-22 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     4.9/     4.9
.E2 :1223:/     4.9/     4.9/     5.0/     5.2
.E3 :1224:/     5.4/     5.7/     5.9/     6.0
.E4 :1225:/     5.9/     6.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.18/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.00 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/    10.0/     9.9
.E2 :1223:/     9.9/     9.9/     9.9/    10.1
.E3 :1224:/    10.5/    10.9/    11.4/    11.7
.E4 :1225:/    11.9/    12.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.08/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 593.45 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:Crest 622.21 at Dec-26 7pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/   593.4/   593.4
.E2 :1223:/   593.4/   593.3/   593.3/   593.2
.E3 :1224:/   593.2/   593.1/   604.2/   608.3
.E4 :1225:/   611.6/   614.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 19.66 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:Crest 25.24 at Dec-26 7pm
:
.ER AVON6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/    19.6/    19.4
.E2 :1223:/    19.3/    19.2/    19.1/    19.1
.E3 :1224:/    19.4/    20.1/    21.2/    22.3
.E4 :1225:/    23.2/    23.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.13/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.09/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.95 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.0
.E2 :1223:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9
.E3 :1224:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.3/     3.5
.E4 :1225:/     3.6/     3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.08/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.96 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     2.0/     1.9
.E2 :1223:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     2.0
.E3 :1224:/     2.0/     2.1/     2.3/     2.4
.E4 :1225:/     2.5/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.09/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 7.06 ft at Dec-22 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     5.9/     5.8
.E2 :1223:/     5.7/     5.7/     5.6/     5.6
.E3 :1224:/     5.7/     5.9/     6.3/     6.7
.E4 :1225:/     7.2/     7.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.16/ 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.09/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.20 ft at Dec-22 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     1.1/     1.2
.E2 :1223:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2/     1.3
.E3 :1224:/     1.4/     1.6/     1.8/     2.0
.E4 :1225:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.15/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.09/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.6
.E2 :1223:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :1224:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.7/   687.7
.E4 :1225:/   687.7/   687.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.17/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.09/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Latest Observed Value: 3.57 ft at Dec-22 10:30 am
:Crest 3.74 at Dec-24 7pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :1223:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.6
.E3 :1224:/     3.6/     3.7/     3.7/     3.7
.E4 :1225:/     3.7/     3.7
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.77 ft at Dec-22 10:31 am
:Crest 8.25 at Dec-26 1am
:
.ER BOON6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :1223:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :1224:/     4.9/     5.3/     5.9/     6.6
.E4 :1225:/     7.2/     7.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.35/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.29/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.05 ft at Dec-22 10:30 am
:Crest 8.05 at Dec-26 1am
:
.ER MCKN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.0
.E2 :1223:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0/     3.0
.E3 :1224:/     3.3/     3.8/     4.4/     5.3
.E4 :1225:/     6.1/     6.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.36/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.30/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.11 ft at Dec-22 10:30 am
:Crest 7.56 at Dec-27 7am
:
.ER ARTN6 20141222 E DC201412221055/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1222:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.2
.E2 :1223:/     4.2/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1
.E3 :1224:/     4.2/     4.4/     4.7/     5.1
.E4 :1225:/     5.5/     5.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.34/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.29/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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