River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 040114
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:13pm EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     21.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CNFP1 20150305 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:    7.4
: Crest near    7.4 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.5 /   2.6 /   2.7
:     Mar 03   /   2.8 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   3.0
:     Mar 04   /   3.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.0 ft at 745pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CNFP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   3.2 /   4.0 /   5.6
.E2 : Mar 05 : /   6.7 /   7.2 /   7.4 /   7.0
.E3 : Mar 06 : /   6.5 /   6.1 /   5.9 /   5.5
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   5.3 /   5.1 /   4.9 /   4.7
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   4.6 /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.2
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   4.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.18
:     Mar 02   /  0.17 /  0.29 /  0.06 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.37
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.45 /  0.50 /  0.43
:     Mar 05   /  0.20 /  0.29 /  0.36 /  0.13
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -6.7 /  -6.1 /  -2.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /   1.4 /  -1.4 /  -5.1
:     Mar 03   /  -3.7 /  -7.4 /  -7.8 /  -4.4
:     Mar 04   /   0.1 /   7.6 /   4.7 /   2.9
:     Mar 05   /   1.4 /  -3.0 /  -7.4 /  -9.6
:     Mar 06   / -10.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     14.8 ft
: Major River Stage      25.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.9 /   2.0 /   2.1
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.4 /   2.5
:     Mar 04   /   2.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.6 ft at 715pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER OPLP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   3.2 /   4.2 /   6.2
.E2 : Mar 05 : /   7.5 /   8.1 /   8.3 /   7.9
.E3 : Mar 06 : /   7.3 /   6.8 /   6.4 /   6.0
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   5.6 /   5.3 /   5.1 /   4.8
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   4.6 /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.2
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   4.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.17 /  0.30 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.39
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.46 /  0.54 /  0.44
:     Mar 05   /  0.20 /  0.29 /  0.35 /  0.13
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -6.6 /  -6.3 /  -2.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.1 /   1.4 /  -1.9 /  -5.3
:     Mar 03   /  -3.9 /  -9.2 /  -8.4 /  -3.7
:     Mar 04   /   1.1 /   7.5 /   5.2 /   2.4
:     Mar 05   /   0.7 /  -3.3 /  -7.3 /  -9.3
:     Mar 06   / -10.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     22.0 ft
: Major River Stage      18.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.9
:     Mar 03   /   3.1 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
:     Mar 04   /   3.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.3 ft at 715pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CLLP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   3.9 /   4.9 /   6.3
.E2 : Mar 05 : /   7.7 /   8.3 /   8.5 /   8.3
.E3 : Mar 06 : /   7.8 /   7.4 /   7.0 /   6.7
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   6.4 /   6.1 /   5.9 /   5.6
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   5.5 /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.1
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   5.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.12
:     Mar 02   /  0.19 /  0.25 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.37
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.45 /  0.53 /  0.41
:     Mar 05   /  0.18 /  0.27 /  0.33 /  0.11
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -5.6 /  -5.1 /  -1.3
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /   1.5 /  -2.0 /  -5.2
:     Mar 03   /  -3.7 /  -8.0 /  -7.4 /  -2.7
:     Mar 04   /   2.4 /   7.6 /   6.1 /   2.6
:     Mar 05   /   0.8 /  -2.9 /  -6.3 /  -8.0
:     Mar 06   /  -9.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record River Stage     32.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   21.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   4.9 /   5.3 /   6.0
:     Mar 03   /   5.9 /   5.7 /   5.5 /   5.5
:     Mar 04   /   5.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.7 ft at 715pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER STSP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   6.6 /   8.4 /  10.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  11.2 /  11.4 /  10.9 /  10.4
.E3 : Mar 06 : /   9.8 /   9.2 /   8.7 /   8.2
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   7.8 /   7.5 /   7.3 /   6.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   6.7 /   6.4 /   6.3 /   6.5
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   6.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.22 /  0.01 /  0.04
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.38
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.40 /  0.47 /  0.33
:     Mar 05   /  0.13 /  0.25 /  0.28 /  0.09
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -5.6 /  -3.8 /  -0.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.3 /   1.7 /  -1.4 /  -4.1
:     Mar 03   /  -2.3 /  -5.7 /  -6.4 /  -1.4
:     Mar 04   /   4.7 /   7.5 /   5.8 /   2.7
:     Mar 05   /   1.1 /  -2.4 /  -5.4 /  -6.9
:     Mar 06   /  -8.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     44.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      32.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     23.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MAXP1 20150305 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   26.7
: Crest near   26.7 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  10.2 /  10.7 /  10.6
:     Mar 03   /  10.5 /  10.8 /  11.2 /  12.3
:     Mar 04   /  11.2E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 11.8 ft at 500pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MAXP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  11.9 /  15.2 /  19.7
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  24.0 /  25.1 /  26.7 /  26.1
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  25.3 /  21.7 /  18.6 /  16.7
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  15.7 /  15.1 /  15.1 /  14.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  14.8 /  14.6 /  14.6 /  14.6
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  14.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.12 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.40
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.42 /  0.46 /  0.43
:     Mar 05   /  0.17 /  0.29 /  0.32 /  0.10
:     Mar 06   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -5.6 /  -4.1 /   0.1
:     Mar 02   /   2.1 /   2.5 /  -0.4 /  -2.9
:     Mar 03   /  -0.8 /  -8.1 /  -6.6 /  -0.0
:     Mar 04   /   6.0 /   8.7 /   6.7 /   3.3
:     Mar 05   /   1.5 /  -2.2 /  -5.5 /  -7.1
:     Mar 06   /  -8.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     42.7 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      35.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   31.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      28.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     22.6 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 9PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR CHRP1 20150305 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   29.1
: Crest near   29.1 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 4PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  11.3 /  12.2 /  12.7
:     Mar 03   /  12.8 /  13.9 /  14.0 /  15.3
:     Mar 04   /  15.1
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 15.1 ft at 700pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CHRP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  14.8 /  19.3 /  24.2
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  27.7 /  28.7 /  29.1 /  28.8
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  27.4 /  26.0 /  23.3 /  21.4
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  20.0 /  19.2 /  19.2 /  18.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  18.7 /  18.6 /  18.5 /  18.4
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  18.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.19 /  0.14 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.38
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.41 /  0.47 /  0.40
:     Mar 05   /  0.16 /  0.27 /  0.31 /  0.10
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -5.4 /  -4.0 /  -0.0
:     Mar 02   /   1.8 /   2.0 /  -0.8 /  -3.6
:     Mar 03   /  -1.4 /  -7.4 /  -6.6 /  -0.4
:     Mar 04   /   5.5 /   8.4 /   6.4 /   3.1
:     Mar 05   /   1.4 /  -2.3 /  -5.5 /  -7.0
:     Mar 06   /  -8.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.5 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      20.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 6PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR ELZP1 20150305 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH12/HPIFFX :crest:   21.2
: Crest near   21.2 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 8PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  10.7 /  11.0 /  11.6
:     Mar 03   /  11.7 /  12.1 /  12.2 /  12.8
:     Mar 04   /  13.0
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.9 ft at 715pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER ELZP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  12.9 /  15.6 /  18.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  20.3 /  20.9 /  21.2 /  20.9
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  20.1 /  18.8 /  17.3 /  16.3
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  15.7 /  15.3 /  15.3 /  15.1
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  15.0 /  14.9 /  14.9 /  14.9
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  14.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.05
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.40
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.38 /  0.43 /  0.31
:     Mar 05   /  0.12 /  0.25 /  0.27 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -5.7 /  -4.8 /  -0.4
:     Mar 02   /   1.2 /   1.4 /  -1.5 /  -4.0
:     Mar 03   /  -1.7 /  -6.3 /  -6.8 /  -1.5
:     Mar 04   /   4.6 /   7.3 /   5.3 /   2.4
:     Mar 05   /   0.9 /  -3.1 /  -6.2 /  -7.7
:     Mar 06   /  -9.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     35.3 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      22.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.4
:     Mar 03   /  12.2 /  12.4 /  12.3 /  12.5
:     Mar 04   /  12.0
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.1 ft at 745pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER BDDP1 20150304 Z DC201503040113/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  12.3 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  15.7 /  17.0 /  17.7 /  18.1
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  17.9 /  17.3 /  14.9 /  12.1
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  12.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.20 /  0.14 /  0.00 /  0.06
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.47
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.36 /  0.40 /  0.25
:     Mar 05   /  0.11 /  0.22 /  0.24 /  0.07
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  -6.4 /  -4.8 /  -0.6
:     Mar 02   /   0.9 /   1.2 /  -1.8 /  -4.2
:     Mar 03   /  -2.3 /  -6.7 /  -6.9 /  -2.2
:     Mar 04   /   3.3 /   6.4 /   5.1 /   2.2
:     Mar 05   /   0.8 /  -3.0 /  -6.1 /  -7.6
:     Mar 06   /  -8.9
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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