Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 311402
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/31/15 1402Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1345Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA..OUN....
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...SLOW MOVEMENT, HIGH MOISTURE WITH SOME BLOCKAGE EAST..NORTH AND
SOUTH TO SW...
SO LOCALLY HVY RAIN TO CONTINUE NEXT FEW HRS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MESO PRECIP WATER ANALYSIS WITH SATELLITE
AND GPS FILLING 12Z RAOB ANALYSIS SHOWED A RELATIVE MIN OF PRECIP WATER
NW OK NOSING SOUTH INTO NW TEXAS AND ANOTHER MIN WESTERN TEXAS NEAR KMAF
NORTH TO NE MEW MEXICO.   AND CURRENT ACTIVITY OK/TX PANHANDLES SANDWICHED
BETWEEN THE TWO FOR BOTH SLOW MOVEMENT AND TAKING ADVANTAGE OF 1.75"-1.9"
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.   NOT MUCH MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO COMPLEXES
THAT HAVE BEEN TRYING TO MERGE...BUT EVEN IF THEY EVENTUALLY DO...HVY
RAIN CELLS WILL PROBABLY PRODUCE AS MUCH RAINFALL AS ANY MERGER POINT.
MOST ACTIVE AREAS CLUSTERED NORTH CENTERED ON MOORE TO SHERMAN COUNTY
TX TO TEXAS COUNTY OK...WHILE SOUTH OLDHAM COUNTY INTO SOUTHERN MOORE
COUNTY TX.
AS AN ASIDE IN CENTRAL OK AND MORE MESOSCALE...THERE WAS A NARROW
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW WEDGE  FROM S OKLAHOMA COUNTY TO LINCOLN TO
POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY FOR MORE MESO TO MICRO SCALE HVY RAIN BURSTS IN
A PRECIP WATER ENVIRONMENT OF 1.75 TO 1.85" THAT CAN BE RESULTING IN
HIGHLY LOCALIZED FF.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1400-1700Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECTING CONTINUED SLOW WEAKENING WITH SOUTHERN
COMPLEX AS DRY AIR AND POOR MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUES TO OVERWHELM THAT
AREA...NORTHER AREA TO LAST A BIT LONGER AND POSSIBLY THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH SOME WEAKENING TOWARD END OF PERIOD AS I HAS A BIT MORE MOISTURE TO
WORK WITH AND NOT AS UNFAVORABLE MOISTURE..BUT WILL BE COMING UP AGAIN
NW OK TO NW TX DRIER AREA AND MAY JUST RAIN ITSELF OUT THIS PERIOD AND
CENTERED TEXAS COUNTY IN THE OK PANHANDLE AND POTTER/RANDALL TO HANSFORD
IN THE TX PANHANDLE WITH A LITTLE MORE MOVEMENT...BUT MORE MOVEMENT
MEANS A QUICKER DEMISE.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3687 10239 3673 10053 3550 10061 3545 10108 3465 10173
3458 10240 3539 10285
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