Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280835
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.2N 122.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.3N 124.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.8N 126.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.6N 128.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.4N 133.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.9N 137.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.8N 140.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 121.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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