Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230526
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula have become better organized this evening.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
and this system is expected to become a tropical depression during
the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located about 1700 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward into the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some development of
this system is expected over the weekend while it moves generally
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Yet another area of low pressure could form during the next couple
of days several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.  Some gradual development of this system
is possible by the weekend while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown


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