Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 270025
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
Issued by National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
725 PM CDT Tue Mar 26 2024

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 714 PM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

Tweaked PoPs and clouds over far southeast counties to better
reflect satellite and radar trends. Rest of forecast looks good.
Could see some patchy valley fog east of I-65 with calm winds and
mostly clear skies before high clouds move back in after sunrise.

SNELSON

Previous short-term discussion:
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1156 AM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

The low-end severe threat ended early this morning with the
diminishment of instability. A broken corridor of light to moderate
rainfall is focused mainly along and east of I-65 at this hour. The
cold front extends north to south through western Mississippi based
on sfc obs and visible satellite imagery showing where the drier,
post-frontal air is based on the lack of cloud cover over the
ArkLaTex. That drier air will reach western portions of Central
Alabama this afternoon as the rain continues to move east into
Georgia. Decreasing cloud cover and more sun will allow temperatures
to rise into the lower 70s in the west while mid 60s are expected in
the east. A broad presence of upper-level troughing will remain to
our west over the Central CONUS, but low-level winds will become
northwesterly allowing for cooler air to move into Central AL
overnight. Lows will be in the 40s for most of the area with some
readings in the lower 50s in the southeast. Some patchy fog may
briefly develop in the valley areas tomorrow morning. Meanwhile, an
increasing presence of mid-level clouds will round the base of the
trough tomorrow with filtered sun resulting in mild to warm
conditions. Highs will range from the mid 60s northwest to mid/upper
70s southeast.

86/Martin
&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

No big changes to the forecast this afternoon. Surface high moves
overhead Thursday night, resulting in ideal radiational cooling
conditions with frost expected in the typical valleys.

32/Davis

Previous long-term discussion:
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 331 AM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

A mid- to upper-level trough will swing through the eastern CONUS
Thursday with high pressure moving east across the Mississippi
Valley. Thus, Thursday will be the coolest day of the long-term
period with highs in the 60s and 70s. Thereafter, a broad ridge is
forecast to develop across the central and eastern CONUS. We`ll be
on a warming trend as a result, with highs in the 70s on Friday,
approaching 80 on Saturday, and the 80s for early next week. We`ll
remain dry for much of this period meaning this will be some of the
best weekend weather we`ve had in a while. A front is progged to
move toward the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday, bring some rain/storm
chances.

40/Sizemore

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 714 PM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

VFR conditions and light and variable winds expected tonight for
all but KANB where could see some patchy MVFR fog between 08Z and
13Z. High clouds and winds will increase after sunrise, becoming
N-NNW 7-11kts.

SNELSON

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     41  68  41  67 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    44  69  42  67 /   0   0  10   0
Birmingham  45  67  43  67 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  44  68  42  69 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      45  68  43  68 /   0   0  10   0
Auburn      49  72  46  69 /  10   0  10   0
Montgomery  47  72  46  70 /   0   0  10   0
Troy        50  74  47  70 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....32
AVIATION...26


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