Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 291454
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Spot Forecast for TipTop...USFS Shoal Creek
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
954 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Generally southerly flow expected today. Shoal Creek
ob continues to show easterly flow, which might be in place
at the burn site this morning due to local terrain influences.
As we go through the day, the larger-scale weather pattern causing
increasing rain chances tonight should become predominate over the
local terrain flow and lead to more southerly flow. Winds could
be gusty at times ahead of the band of showers.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........21     35     45     54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............71     77     79     80
RH..............61     48     44     41
20 FT wind......S 7    S 7    S 7    S 8
20 FT wind gust.12     13     13     13
20 FT wind dir..170    170    170    170
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   5300   6400   6700
Transport wind..S 16   S 15   S 15   S 15
Dispersion idx..11     90     105    70
LVORI...........1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........63     72     83     85     88     88
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............0      10     30     30     70     70
LAL.............1      1      2      2      3      3
Temp............77     71     69     67     65     63
RH..............47     61     68     75     84     90
20 FT wind......S 7    SE 7   SE 6   S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT wind gust.11     11     11     13     14     12
20 FT wind dir..160    150    150    170    170    180
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   500    400    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 10   S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10   S 10
Dispersion idx..30     0      0      7      9      7
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      4      6

.TUESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........99     98     87     74     67     66
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............70     60     60     60     50     50
LAL.............3      3      3      3      2      2
Temp............62     63     68     73     76     77
RH..............97     93     78     64     58     56
20 FT wind......S 6    S 6    S 7    SW 8   SW 8   W 8
20 FT wind gust.12     12     11     11     11     11
20 FT wind dir..180    180    180    220    240    250
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1000   1800   2800   3400   3600
Transport wind..S 10   S 13   S 16   SW 14  SW 10  W 10
Dispersion idx..7      8      18     43     36     37
LVORI...........6      6      3      3      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...Aaron Radford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412662.1/BMX
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0