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000
FNUS73 KFGF 221036
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Cheerio Fire...Minnesota DNR
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
536 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

A changeable day, especially with respect to wind direction.  Starting
off today with a south to southwest wind thru late morning, then
as a surface trough moves through winds will turn west this
afternoon into tonight. West winds 15-20 mph this afternoon

A few showers tonight/Tuesday morning, then windy and cooler
Tuesday with northwest-north winds to 25 mph.




.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph shifting to the west with gusts
                    to around 19 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 20 mph shifting to the west 20
                    to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....20800 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 77200 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing to
                    (140700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  82  82  86  90  89  80  73  60
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  54  56  57  57  57  58  59  59
RH..............42  41  38  37  39  42  45  36  35
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.20  20  18  15  14  16  18  19  19
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.0 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.1 4.8 7.0 7.9
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.20  20  15  15  15  20  20  25  25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  34  32  41  50  66  77  141 173

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening, then chance of
                    rain showers overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....(183600 knot-ft) decreasing to 43900 knot-ft
                    early in the evening decreasing to 5400 knot-ft
                    late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........42     50     59     63     68     74
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............60     55     48     45     44     41
RH..............35     45     58     65     76     85
20 ft wind......W 10   W 10   W 5    W 5    W 5    W 10
20 ft wind gust.18     15     12     13     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....8300   1000   500    500    700    600
Mixing wind.....W 25   W 15   W 10   W 15   W 15   W 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..184    14     6      6      8      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    north with gusts to around 20 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....8700 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    62400 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........80        85        70        35
Weather cov.....CHANCE    S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............40        41        44        47
RH..............92        89        65        47
20 FT wind......NW 10G15  N 10G18   N 10G20   N 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....800       1700      2700      3800
Mixing wind.....NW 15     N 15      N 20      N 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9         25        49        61

$$
Forecaster...DR
Requested by...Chris Gronewold
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411672.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL chris.gronewold@state.mn.us