Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 131433
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Youth Camp 2...Southern Ute Agency
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
833 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on March 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Damp unsettled weather continues for the foreseeable
future with generally light rain possible each the afternoon and light
snow overnight into the morning hours. Winds will be breezy out of the
east to southeast that will help with smoke dispersal, but mixing
heights remain fairly shallow at a few 1000 feet, peaking through the
afternoon hours.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers late in the morning, then rain showers,
                    snow showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29000 knot-ft) increasing to good in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Snow showers
                    likely through the night.
CWR.................40 percent.
Min temperature.....29-34.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 1800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 19 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Snow showers
                    likely through the day. Rain showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 5300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 17 mph.

$$
Forecaster...David Byers
Requested by...Cameron Standing
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2406535.0/GJT
.DELDT 03/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cstanding@southernute-nsn.gov


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