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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 220755
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
355 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Clouds and a little rain may linger this morning, especially near
the coast. Clearing skies should arrive later today as high
pressure builds eastward, maintaining below normal temperatures
through Tuesday. The high will move offshore Tuesday night.
Temperatures should cool behind another cold front Wednesday
night. The front should return north late in the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-230000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
355 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Rain None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 62 36 71
Min/Max RH (%) 40 97 30
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G21 N 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 10 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/0600 1900 51/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5900
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 W 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 122000 53100
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 92 Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 85 Good 5 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-230000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
355 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 37 72
Min/Max RH (%) 35 94 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 10 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 48/0600 1900 50/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5600
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 117000 56000
ADI Early 63 Good 99 Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 95 Good 4 Very Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
355 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 10 0 0
Precip Type Sprinkles None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 37 71
Min/Max RH (%) 41 94 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G18 N 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 10 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 12 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0600 2000 51/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5500
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 W 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 130000 44000
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 97 Good 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 86 Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
355 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 64 37 72
Min/Max RH (%) 38 92 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 9 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0600 2000 50/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5400
Transport Wind (mph) N 17 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115600 48600
ADI Early 64 Good 106 Very Good33 Fair
ADI Late 118 Very Good4 Very Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA
- National Weather Service
- Chicago, IL Weather Forecast Office
- 333 West University Drive
- Romeoville, IL 60446
- 815-834-1435 8am-8pm
- Page Author: LOT Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-lot.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC