Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
928 FNUS54 KMAF 021847 FWFMAF Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 147 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024 .DISCUSSION... Critical relative humidity continues for locations behind the dryline. Winds remain weak over the next several days but elevated to near critical fire weather remains possible. Our next weather system on Monday brings stronger winds and more widespread critical fire weather potential that may continue into the middle part of next week. Depending on how widespread rainfall is this weekend will dictate how far east the critical conditions develop. At this time, areas to the south and west of the Pecos are expected to remain mostly dry, maintaining areas of very dry fuels. Recoveries remain poor to the west and good to excellent to the east. && For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office. NMZ116-031200- Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains- 1247 PM MDT Thu May 2 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None None None Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20 Temp (24h trend) 48 (-9) 85 (+3) 47 81 RH % (24h trend) 55 (+32) 7 (-3) 47 14 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 SW 9 SW 15 NW 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 S 17 SW 10 E 12 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 20 27 12 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12620 7660 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 SE 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 302880 130220 Vent Category Excellent Very good RFTI 4 6 6 0 RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Critical Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. $$ NMZ117-031200- Chaves Plains- 1247 PM MDT Thu May 2 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None None Showers Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 30 Temp (24h trend) 52 (-6) 90 (+4) 51 83 RH % (24h trend) 94 (+47) 8 (-4) 95 26 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 SE 11 S 16 E 9 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 14 S 15 S 13 NE 11 LAL 1 1 1 3 Haines Index 5 4 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 22 28 23 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13510 4990 Transport Wnd (kts) S 22 E 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 297220 84830 Vent Category Excellent Good RFTI 1 4 4 0 RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds around 15 mph. $$ NMZ118-031200- Eddy Plains- 1247 PM MDT Thu May 2 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None None Tstms Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 30 Temp (24h trend) 53 (-7) 91 (+1) 55 88 RH % (24h trend) 79 (+21) 8 (-1) 94 22 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 SE 10 S 15 SE 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11 S 15 SE 12 E 10 LAL 1 1 1 2 Haines Index 6 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 21 25 19 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13420 6790 Transport Wnd (kts) S 20 SE 15 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 268400 101850 Vent Category Excellent Very good RFTI 3 3 4 0 RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. $$ NMZ119-031200- Lea- 1247 PM MDT Thu May 2 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 10 20 50 Temp (24h trend) 53 (-5) 89 (+1) 54 86 RH % (24h trend) 99 (+13) 10 (0) 99 33 Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 10 SE 11 S 15 SE 10 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 13 S 13 SE 13 SE 11 LAL 1 1 2 3 Haines Index 6 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 19 23 29 21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12050 5980 Transport Wnd (kts) S 19 SE 19 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 228950 113620 Vent Category Excellent Very good RFTI 2 2 2 0 RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. $$ TXZ270-271-031200- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and Pine Springs 147 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024 /1247 PM MDT Thu May 2 2024/ Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Pcldy Precip Type None None None Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20 Temp (24h trend) 53 (-6) 85 (+6) 53 84 RH % (24h trend) 22 (+3) 8 (0) 49 11 Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 18 W 12 W 17 S 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 SW 19 NE 11 SW 13 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 5 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 14 19 10 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11980 10740 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 S 16 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 299500 171840 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 6 7 7 2 RFTI Category Critical Extreme Extreme Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to 25 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 20 mph. $$ TXZ272-273-275>282-031200- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon 147 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 20 Temp (24h trend) 53 (-10) 95 (+6) 55 94 RH % (24h trend) 36 (-28) 6 (-1) 92 7 Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 N 8 S 13 SE 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 S 12 E 12 S 10 LAL 1 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 6 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 18 12 15 19 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11950 10810 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 S 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 191200 183770 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 3 2 2 2 RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-031200- Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving- Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos- Terrell-Reeves County Plains- Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos 147 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024 Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30 50 Temp (24h trend) 57 (-7) 93 (0) 59 89 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+8) 18 (+9) 100 32 Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 E 9 SE 15 SE 9 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 10 SE 11 SE 14 SE 11 LAL 1 2 3 3 Haines Index 6 6 5 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 17 19 24 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8650 5750 Transport Wnd (kts) SE 17 SE 20 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 147050 115000 Vent Category Very good Very good RFTI 2 0 0 0 RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$