674
FXUS64 KMEG 302308
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
608 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 240 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Dry conditions and above normal temperatures will persist through
Thursday as high pressure remains in place. Showers and
thunderstorms will return to the Mid-South late Thursday and
linger through the weekend as a stalled front remains over the
region. Unsettled weather may persist through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Monday)
Issued at 240 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Nearly perfect weather is ongoing across the Mid-South today.
Temperatures are in the upper 70s and lower 80s under mostly
clear skies. Much warmer conditions are expected on Wednesday as
the upper level ridge amplifies over the Lower Mississippi Valley.
High temperatures could approach the upper 80s.

Showers and thunderstorms will return to the region late Thursday
as a shortwave lifts northeast across the Mid-South. A trailing
cold front will move into the region on Friday and stall across
the Mid-South through the weekend. The best coverage of storms
appears to be Friday, with 30 to 40 PoPs Saturday and Sunday.

The weather will remain unsettled through early next week as
several shortwaves translate east through the Lower Mississippi
Valley. Organized severe weather still appears low as the Polar
Jet remains displaced well to the north and west of us.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Beautiful flying conditions across the air space under high
pressure. Some BR and locally dense fog is possible across the
Tennessee River Valley (MKL and TUP). MKL looks to stay VFR, with
low probabilities to drop to MVFR. TUP is likely to prevail MVFR
with low probabilities to drop to IFR. Any fog that does develop
will diminish after sunrise. The pressure gradient will start to
tighten tomorrow and increase winds from west to east across the
area.

DNM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...DNM