Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
826
FNUS74 KMOB 021034
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 447 448...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
534 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 80 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...
.DISCUSSION...A few isolated showers and storms today become more widely
scattered on Friday. Minimum relative humidity values remain above
critical thresholds (around 40 percent today and around 55
percent tomorrow) at the burn site. Southeasterly transport winds
this morning will become more southerly by this afternoon.
Transport winds then turn more southwesterly by Friday. Max wind
gusts will generally be around 10 to 15 mph today. Afternoon
dispersions will be good (values around 80).
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is
possible once again tonight at the burn site. Fog may briefly
become dense prior to sunrise.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of dense
fog early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph late in
the morning.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-1890 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
increasing to 43 late in the morning increasing
to 57 early in the afternoon increasing to 79
decreasing to 72 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51 51 50 51 52 53 53 53 53 56
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............66 71 76 81 83 86 87 88 87 86
RH..............100 87 74 60 53 46 45 42 43 46
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 2.2 3.3 4.2 5.3 6.0 6.2 5.9 5.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 14
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..11 18 30 43 57 74 83 76 72 72
LVORI...........7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....72 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59 63 61 59 57 60 62 65 68 72 75 72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............84 80 76 73 71 70 69 69 68 68 67 67
RH..............49 58 69 79 87 90 93 93 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S SSE
20 FT wind spd..8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3
20 FT wind gust.12 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 13 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 7 7
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
Dispersion idx..72 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 3
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6 8 8 9 9 9 9
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68 65 66 67 68 67 67 66 67 68 69 67
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............67 67 69 74 78 81 83 84 84 83 82 81
RH..............100 100 93 82 71 63 57 53 53 55 56 58
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S S S S SSW S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSW SW SSW S SSW
Transp wind spd.6 6 7 10 9 12 12 13 12 12 12 10
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW SW SSW S SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 4
Dispersion idx..3 6 10 19 25 33 39 46 37 38 37 37
LVORI...........9 8 6 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...96
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412928.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov