Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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150
FNUS74 KMOB 291330
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 South...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
830 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A band of rain currently moving through Southwest
Mississippi will continue to push east, and will impact the burn
site this afternoon.  The rain could be locally heavy at times.  Rain
will then linger off and on through the overnight hours and into
tomorrow morning.  Winds will be gusty from the south at 15 to 20
mph today, but will ease below 5 mph by tonight.  Although winds
will be light, fog is not expected as periods of rain continue to
pass over the burn site.

Rainfall totals of up to 2 inches could occur over the next 48 hours
at the burn site.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning, then showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...610-1250 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 32 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........71     73     75     80
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     60     60
LAL.............2      2      3      3
Temp............76     81     81     77
RH..............76     65     65     74
20 FT wind dir..SSE    S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..10     12     13     13
20 FT wind gust.16     18     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   4100   3700   2000
Mix hgt (m).....1010   1250   1130   610
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     20     20     16
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      9      9      7
Dispersion idx..51     53     49     32
LVORI...........3      1      1      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-610 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 21 mph decreasing to 6 to 10 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight, then shifting
                    to the west around 7 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 9 meters/second decreasing to 3 to 4
                    meters/second in the late evening and
                    overnight, then shifting to the west around 3
                    meters/second early in the morning.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........88     90     87     75     65     57
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     60     60     60     60
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............75     69     66     66     66     64
RH..............79     97     100    100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      SSE    S      S      S      SSW
20 FT wind spd..12     9      7      5      3      3
20 FT wind gust.17     14     10     8      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   500    500    500    500    400
Mix hgt (m).....610    150    150    150    150    120
Transp wind dir.SSE    S      S      S      SSE    SSW
Transp wind spd.17     14     10     8      7      6
Trans wind dir..SSE    S      S      S      SSE    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).8      6      4      4      3      3
Dispersion idx..32     13     8      6      5      4
LVORI...........3      5      8      8      9      9

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    morning, then chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................3 until 0700, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1433 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........61     61     57     38     16     15
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     30     30     30     40     40
LAL.............3      2      2      2      2      2
Temp............64     66     74     81     84     85
RH..............100    100    84     65     55     51
20 FT wind dir..WSW    W      W      W      WSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..2      2      2      3      5      3
20 FT wind gust.5      3      3      6      7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1100   2100   3600   4400   4700
Mix hgt (m).....150    340    640    1100   1340   1430
Transp wind dir.W      W      W      W      W      W
Transp wind spd.6      6      6      7      8      9
Trans wind dir..W      W      W      W      W      W
Trans spd (m/s).3      3      3      3      4      4
Dispersion idx..3      8      15     32     42     49
LVORI...........9      8      4      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...PG
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412441.3/MOB
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov