352
FNUS73 KMPX 011120
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Wang...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
620 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Wang Rx Burn, clouds will increase through
the day with highs in the mid 60s. Winds will start out on the
breezy side out of the west before diminishing by early afternoon
and becoming northwesterly to light and variable by the evening.
RH values will fall to around 30-35%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................61 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 15 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 8 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /63700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /78900 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 9
                    to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  56  59  61  62  63  64  64  63  63  60  58
RH..............61  57  49  44  41  39  37  38  41  42  53  57
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..15  16  15  14  12  10  8   6   1   5   6   7
20 FT wind gust.24  24  23  22  20  16  14  12  10  8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.6 3.9 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N   NE  E   SE
Transp wind spd.25  25  23  22  18  15  10  9   7   6   6   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    overnight, then rain showers likely early in
                    the morning.
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    14 mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (50900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 20 mph shifting to the east 13
                    to 18 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Jared Culbertson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412855.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared_culbertson@fws.gov