Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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397 FNUS73 KMPX 131631 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Kasota Prairie SNA - East...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1131 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office at 952-361-6671 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... For the Kasota Prairie SNA - East, the main uncertainty is the wind direction. Winds should be primarily out of the north at around 10 mph, but since speeds are light the direction could vary a little east or west of north at times. Temperatures will climb into the lower 70s which will help lower RH values to near 25 percent by this afternoon. Otherwise expect filtered sunshine from hazy wildfire smoke to linger through tonight. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Filtered sunshine (15-25 percent). Areas of smoke early in the afternoon. Temperature.........69 at ignition...Max 73. RH..................37 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise North winds 10 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good /55400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /76900 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 15 to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS Weather type....SMK SMK SMK Tstm cov........ Temp............69 70 72 73 73 73 73 71 68 62 60 57 RH..............37 30 28 26 24 23 23 29 33 41 46 51 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N NE 20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 8 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.15 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 12 9 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 5.1 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.9 4.9 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N NE Transp wind spd.15 15 16 15 15 15 15 15 13 12 12 12 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Temperature.........Min 46. RH..................Max 71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4400 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 12 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 12 to 13 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY... RH..................Min 30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the east 9 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. $$ Forecaster...Beitlich Requested by...Brad Bolduan Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413985.0/MPX .DELDT 05/13/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Brad.Bolduan@state.mn.us