National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KOHX 221520
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1020 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1009 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

A surface ridge will slide across Middle Tennessee today, setting
us up for warmer weather beginning tomorrow. The atmosphere across
the region is very dry. The morning Precipitable Water value at
OHX was 0.29", which is below the 10th percentile for this date
and only 22% of the daily mean. Look for the surface pressure
gradient to increase tomorrow once the aforementioned ridge pulls
farther east. Combined with continued low RH values, this will put
Middle Tennessee in a marginal fire weather danger.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1009 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

A weak surface boundary will sweep across the area tomorrow night,
bringing low rain chances mainly to areas north of I-40.
Additional low rain chances will come our way with the approach of
a warm front from the southwest, but this is not going to be a
substantial rain-producer. Better rain chances will happen this
weekend when a cold front pushes through Middle Tennessee, but QPF
totals throughout the next 7 days are below 1/4" across the
greater portion of the mid state, and below 1/2" for all but the
northwest corner of the forecast area. Meanwhile, daytime
temperatures will reach the 80s in many areas by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period. Winds will remain
light, gradually becoming southerly by this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      67  44  74  57 /   0   0   0  20
Clarksville    66  42  72  54 /   0   0   0  20
Crossville     61  38  69  50 /   0   0   0  30
Columbia       66  41  74  55 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     61  41  69  53 /   0   0   0  40
Jamestown      61  39  70  50 /   0   0   0  40
Lawrenceburg   65  42  72  55 /   0   0   0  10
Murfreesboro   66  40  74  55 /   0   0   0  10
Waverly        66  43  73  55 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Clements