533
FNUS75 KREV 121920
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Mill Canyon RX, MC2 & MC3...USFS, NV-HTF
National Weather Service Reno NV
1220 PM PDT Sun May 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* There will be chance for thunderstorms Monday with chances
  retreating to the crest Tuesday. Storms Tuesday will favor
  moving to the west side late in the day. Winds will be light
  except for gusty outflow winds to 40 mph vicinity of storms.

* Much warmer and drier mid to late week with temperatures 10-15
  degrees above normal. Humidity recoveries will become poor for
  mid slopes beginning Tuesday night as thermal belts develop.

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy in the
                     afternoon. A 30% chance of showers and
                     thunderstorms starting as early as noon but
                     more likely after 2 pm.
Temperature.........58-63 at ignition...Max 66-71.
RH..................32-38% at ignition...Min 22-26%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds upslope 3-8 mph then shifting to the
                     west 7-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph after
                     2 pm. Gusty and erratic winds near storms.
LAL.................3.
Chc Wetting Rain....20%.
Mixing Height.......3000-3500 ft agl late morning rising to
                     5200-5800 ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Northeast winds 5-10 mph becoming southwest
                     10-15 mph after 2 pm.
Ventilation.........Good.
Haines Index........3.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A
                     25% chance of showers and thunderstorms before
                     8 pm.
Temperature.........Min 48-54.
RH..................Max 45-55%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 7-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                     early in the evening then becoming light.
LAL.................2.
Chc Wetting Rain....15%.
Mixing Height.......1500-2000 ft agl decreasing to 200-400 ft agl in
                     the late evening and overnight.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph in the early evening, then
                     becoming light winds in the late evening and
                     overnight.
Ventilation.........Marginal to poor.
Haines Index........3.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. A 10% chance of thunderstorms in
                     the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 68-73.
RH..................Min 18-23%.
20-Foot Winds.......Upslope/north 3-7 mph becoming north 8-13 mph
                     in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Mixing Height.......7500-8000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming northeast around 10 mph
                     in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Excellent.
Haines Index........3.

$$
Forecaster...Hohmann
Requested by...Matthew Gill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413812.0/REV
.DELDT 05/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.gill@usda.gov