Text Products for FWS Issued by RLX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS71 KRLX 150839
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Pond Six Oak Burn...Ohio Division of Wildlife
National Weather Service Charleston WV
439 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cool front slowly slips south through the day today shifting
winds from southwesterly this morning to westerly or west-
northwesterly late this afternoon into this evening. A few showers
or thunderstorms could develop along this convergence line this
afternoon, but confidence is rather low in any wetting rain. If
storms do develop, winds will be gusty and erratic near any
convective downdrafts. Afternoon RH values will dip into the 30s
as temperatures rise to near 80. Deep mixing should make for good
dispersion this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 10 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 13 mph late in the morning.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 87 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  33  35  37  39  39  39  39  41  42  43
Weather cov.....                        SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30  20  20  20
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  30  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............61  63  66  69  71  73  75  77  77  78  79
RH..............66  67  64  62  60  55  50  45  35  35  40
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   7   8   7   8   7   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   5   11  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.2 4.3 5.1 6.0 6.3 6.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.2   3   7   10  13  13  12  12  12  13  13
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   4   11  25  39  50  61  66  80  87  82
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 3 mph late in the evening.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 4.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39  35  31  30  28  27  40  53  66  64  62  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  73  70  67  65  63  63  62  61  60  59
RH..............45  54  58  59  66  68  64  57  57  65  70  74
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  6           5       6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.6 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.9   6   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............4   3   2   1   1   1   2   3   2   2   2   1
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 3 mph shifting to the southwest late
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 16.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  71  65  58  54  75  80  78  76  73  70  67
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............10  10  20  20  30  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  30  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............58  57  57  61  65  69  73  75  77  78  79  79
RH..............77  83  72  70  66  63  57  52  50  47  46  46
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.1 3.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   5   3   2   2
LVORI...........4   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   3   3   3   4   6   8   12  15  16  12  8
Haines index....2   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4   4

$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Ronald Collins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410391.0/RLX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ronald.Collins@dnr.ohio.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
