Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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658 FXUS62 KTBW 300743 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 343 AM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 .DISCUSSION... Upper-level troughing will move across the southeast today, with a slight increase in instability for the Florida peninsula. At the surface, high pressure remains centered to our east, keeping a light southeast flow over the region that will give way to the sea breeze in the afternoon. This setup will favor a sea breeze collision over the interior late in the day, and a slight uptick in moisture, along with the increased instability, will lead to additional showers and possibly a few storms over this region. Lingering troughing over the region for Wednesday combined with the sea breeze, will allow for a similar setup as far as rain chances go. The rest of the week really features seasonable weather, with daily sea breezes and a few showers expected. Otherwise, we should continue to see plenty of sunshine along with warm temperatures. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Some late evening showers and a few storms could affect KLAL and southwest Florida sites, with local MVFR/IFR conditions possible, then activity diminishes by 06Z. && .MARINE... Southeast winds will remain in place across the waters through the next several days, with a turn onshore with the sea breeze each afternoon. Overall, no headlines are expected. && .FIRE WEATHER... Relative humidity values will drop near critical levels for the next several afternoons, but no Red Flag conditions are expected. Showers and a few storms will be possible for the next few evenings, mainly over interior and southwest Florida locations. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 87 71 88 70 / 10 0 10 0 FMY 88 70 89 70 / 20 10 20 10 GIF 89 68 91 68 / 20 20 30 10 SRQ 87 68 88 69 / 10 0 10 0 BKV 88 61 89 62 / 10 0 10 0 SPG 84 73 86 73 / 0 0 10 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ 05/Carlisle