Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 061759
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1159 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE
PERIOD AT ALL AREA TAF SITES. THERE COULD BE TEMPORARY MVFR
VISIBILITIES A FEW HOURS ON SATURDAY MORNING AT THOSE LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING
ABUNDANT SNOW MELT THIS AFTERNOON AND CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015/

AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY...WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE NORTH. THERE
MAY BE SOME FOG DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS SNOW MELT OCCURS TODAY...BUT
DID NOT INCLUDE AT THIS TIME.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN SLIDING TO THE EAST
TODAY...AND THAT WILL START A WARMING TREND THROUGH
MUCH OF THE NEAR TERM.

THERE WILL BE LOTS OF SUNSHINE TODAY...AND THAT WILL
CONTINUE MELTING SNOW/ICE. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS
FROM THE RECENT WINTER STORM WERE IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...
SO THAT IS WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN THE
MOST.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE...BUT THE SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BECOME MORE
DOMINANT WITH TIME. THAT NOT ONLY MEANS WARMER
TEMPERATURES...BUT AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS.

BY SUNDAY...WE WILL BE LOOKING AT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS
THE REGION AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. RAIN WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. AT THIS TIME...
RAIN LOOKS LIGHT...WITH HEAVIER PRECIPITATION
ALONG THE GULF COAST.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
EXTENDED. WAVE WILL BRING RAINFALL TO THE STATE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...BUT WITH CLOSE PROXIMITY OF STATIONARY FRONT ALONG THE GULF
COAST...HAVE SMALL RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY. THE
SYSTEM ALONG THE GULF WILL LIFT NORTH THURSDAY...AND DID INCREASE
RAIN CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     38  21  51  30 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         45  25  56  33 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       46  28  58  32 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    45  26  57  33 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  42  24  55  32 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     42  24  54  33 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      47  27  57  32 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  45  27  56  30 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        35  20  49  31 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     38  24  54  32 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   46  26  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         36  22  52  30 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      36  23  52  31 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...61




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