Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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707
FXUS64 KOUN 281126
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
626 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...


&&

.AVIATION...
IFR level ceilings over the southeast half of oklahoma will
gradually dissipate later this morning. VFR conditions will
perist the rest of the day with relative light winds. IFR ceilings
are expected again early Sunday over southern and central
Oklahoma.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 328 AM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
The dryline will move westward today into the Texas panhandle, but
the richest moisture will remain over southeast Oklahoma this
afternoon. Minimal effects of the exiting upper trough to the
northeast may allow isolated thunderstorms in southeast Oklahoma
this afternoon during maximum heating. There are signals in
various models for weak warm advection late tonight and early
sunday through the moist sector to give a chance for showers and
thunderstorms; however, a better chance for rain and thunder comes
Sunday night and early Monday. A weak wave is forecast to cross
through the flat, weak ridge over the southern high plains.
Moisture will be far west into the panhandles Sunday with upslope
southeast winds. The effects for western Oklahoma and surrounding
areas could be an MCS, most likely from west central towards
southwest or south central Oklahoma Monday morning. Something
similar could happen Tuesday morning, but focusing mechanisms do
not appear so clear. By Wednesday a front is expected to move from
the central plains and clear Oklahoma by early Thursday. This
would be the next best chance for rain and thunderstorms. Beyond
mid-week, the very humid airmass finally is forecast to be
replaced by a milder and drier one, sustained by northerly flow
aloft into the early weekend. Rain chances will be low.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  84  66  84  65 /  10  30  40  40
Hobart OK         87  65  85  64 /   0  20  40  60
Wichita Falls TX  89  67  86  66 /  10  20  30  60
Gage OK           85  61  84  61 /   0  20  50  50
Ponca City OK     83  63  85  65 /  10  20  50  30
Durant OK         85  68  86  67 /  20  20  20  30

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

23/09/09



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