Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 260345
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1045 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.AVIATION...
26/06Z TAFS...LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
BECOME GUSTY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 930 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT WILL BE QUIET...WEATHERWISE...ACROSS THE REGION. THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN SLOWLY AS LOW PRESSURE
BEGINS TO INTENSIFY OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS WILL MAINTAIN
THE SOUTH BREEZE THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS.

THE CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. NO CHANGES ARE
PLANNED FOR THIS EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

AVIATION...
26/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY WITH SPEEDS AOA 25 KTS AT
SEVERAL SITES BY AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NEAR RECORD HEAT TO CONT ON SUNDAY. THERE WILL HOWEVER BE MORE
WIND AS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE AND BECOME QUITE BREEZY.
THIS WILL CONT INTO MONDAY AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA MONDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS OKLAHOMA INTO NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT.

TEMPS WILL BE ABIT TRICKY FOR MONDAY... AS MUCH OF AREA WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. HOWEVER INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND
FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD KEEPS TEMPS SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN BOTH TODAY
AND WHAT WILL BE SEEN SUNDAY. MODELS CONT TO DEPICT AT LEAST SOME
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY... MAINLY
ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

MORE SEASONAL TEMPS ARE THEN ANTICIPATED THROUGH MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. THERE
IS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY WITH AN
ASSOCIATED SFC FRONT. HOWEVER THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED
TOWARD THE DRY SIDE WITH THIS SYSTEM. IN THIS ONES WAKE A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SFC HIGH COULD BRING COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS TO THE
AREA BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  60  88  62  83 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         60  88  61  83 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  61  90  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           58  91  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     61  89  63  83 /   0   0  10  10
DURANT OK         63  87  62  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/02



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