Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOUN 310013
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
713 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH AROUND
08Z/09Z...WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS. THEREAFTER...PLUME OF HIGHER
MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN...ALLOWING FOR IFR CIGS/VSBYS AT MOST
TERMINALS OUTSIDE OF KWWR/KGAG. EXPECT FOG AND LOW STRATUS TO
LINGER THROUGH 16Z...WITH RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS THEREAFTER. SFC
LOW/FRONT WILL RESULT IN E/NE WINDS NORTHERN OK...WITH S/SE WINDS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OK DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. SCT TSRA LIKELY TO
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE AREA AFTER 18Z. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
IMPACTS TO ANY SINGLE TERMINAL...THOUGH AREAS FROM KSPS/KLAW TO
KOKC/KOUN HAVE THE GREATER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. GUSTY WINDS WILL
LIKELY ACCOMPANY STORMS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
MUCH MORE HUMID CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTH TONIGHT INTO MUCH OF
OKLAHOMA/WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH THE AIR AND
GROUND COOL AHEAD OF THE INCREASING MOISTURE...THERE COULD BE SOME
SUBSTANTIAL ADVECTION FOG BY SUNRISE. IF THIS FOG DEVELOPS...IT
WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY LAST UNTIL ALMOST NOON. IN
ADDITION...SHORT-TERM MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE COULD BE A FEW
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

THEN...THERE WILL BE A MORE WIDESPREAD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING ON TUESDAY. AS
DESCRIBED ELSEWHERE IN MORE DETAIL...A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE WINDY AND WARM...WITH A CONTINUING CHANCE FOR
STORMS...MAINLY SOUTHEAST THIS TIME. ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...A
COLD FRONT WILL WORK ITS WAY SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS...WITH THE USUAL ACCOMPANIMENT OF A RISK OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AGAIN...A FEW MAY BE SEVERE. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL BE VERY WARM TO HOT ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

ONCE THE FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
EVENING...THE CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL END...PROVIDING A COOL AND DRY
EARLY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL SURGE BACK NORTH AGAIN
SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER PERIOD OF CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE
RAIN. INSTABILITY MAY BE TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...SUNDAY APPEARS TO BE A VERY
WINDY DAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  80  57  80 /  10  30  20  20
HOBART OK         55  82  55  85 /  10  30  30  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  61  82  57  83 /  10  30  30  20
GAGE OK           49  82  51  85 /  10  10  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     53  81  54  80 /  10  10  10  10
DURANT OK         62  76  58  76 /  20  20  30  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/84/84



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.