Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
929
FXUS64 KOUN 250930
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
330 AM CST Sat Nov 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns Monday and precip chances Tuesday into
Wednesday continue to be main concerns this morning.

Cold front continues to work south across the area this morning.
This will bring a slightly cooler airmass into Oklahoma and north
Texas, but still above normal temps are expected this weekend.

North winds today behind the front will switch quickly back to the
south on Sunday. These south winds will become quite strong and
gusty by Monday in response to developing west coast trough. This
will result in elevated to near critical fire weather conditions,
especially across western into northern parts of Oklahoma, where
lower afternoon RH values will combine with warm and windy
conditions.

Although models continue to have some run-to-run inconsistencies
with the storm system for mid-week, this morning the GFS and ECMWF
are in a bit better agreement, at least with each other. Both
models close the system off as it moves through the four corners
area and then bring it out into the southern Plains Tuesday. Have
maintained some low pops as early as Tuesday afternoon along the
advancing cold front across central into eastern parts of the
area. Both medium range models have become quite a bit more
aggressive with precip and have increased pops Tuesday night along
and east of I-44. Also with cold core overhead and modest
moisture return at the surface, may be just enough instability for
a few thunderstorms Tuesday night. By Wednesday, other than a few
lingering showers east of I-35, much of the precip should shift
east of the area.

Another, stronger cold front will drop south through the area
Wednesday night into Thursday. Latest model runs bring it through
dry with more seasonal temps expected in its wake. Warmer temps
may return by next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  63  38  68  46 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         65  37  68  44 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  68  37  69  46 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           62  36  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     62  37  68  44 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         69  40  69  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

23/30



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.