Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
100 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

...LONG-TERM SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA...WITH IMPROVEMENT TO MODERATE DROUGHT ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA...

SYNOPSIS...

AN OVERALL QUIET PATTERN PERSISTED OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS WITH THE
MAJOIRTY OF THE RAINFALL OCCURRING DURING A SINGLE EVENT SPANNING
JANUARY 6-7. THIS EVENT WAS COMPLEX IN NATURE AS COLD TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD TO
PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MIDDLE GEORGIA...AND
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW OVER NORTH GEORGIA. THE GREATEST 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT WERE GENERALLY 0.50 INCHES TO 2.0
INCHES. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WAS LARGELY MARKED WITH A WEDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE NOSING DOWN THE APPALACHIANS...RESULTING IN
PROLONGED CLOUDY AND DRIZZLY CONDITIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
DUE TO RECENT RAIN AND GENERALLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS /EVEN WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES/ THE SHALLOW SOIL MOISTURE REMAINED WET ACROSS
MIDDLE GEORGIA...AND NEAR NORMAL ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA DURING THE
LAST TWO WEEKS. DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVED FROM MODERATE DROUGHT TO
ABNORMALLY DRY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. EVEN SO...THE
LONG-TERM SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. IT NORMALLY TAKES AT LEAST THREE
CONSECUTIVE MONTHS OF ABOVE NORMAL TO CONSIDER ENDING A DROUGHT.

RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS.
SOME SIGNIFICANT HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO WATER SUPPLY ARE STILL
OCCURRING AND STREAM FLOWS AND GROUND WATER TABLES ARE VERY LOW IN
MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
THE LATEST FIRE DANGER ASSESSMENT INDICATES A LOW TO MODERATE RISK
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS ASSESSMENT
CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY DUE TO CHANGES IN THE MOISTURE LEVELS AND
RAINFALL RECEIVED.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE HIGHEST RAINFALL OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS OCCURRED IN CENTRAL
GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF NORTH GEORGIA WHERE GENERALLY 25 TO 90
PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL OCCURRED DURING THE LAST 14 DAYS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THIS AREA WERE GENERALLY 0.5 TO 2.0
INCHES. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF NORTH GEORGIA AND PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL GEORGIA RECEIVED 0.10 TO 0.50 INCHES...OR 5 TO 25 PERCENT OF
NORMAL RAINFALL.

GIVEN THAT THE LONG-TERM DROUGHT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
SPRING...THE TOTAL RAINFALL AND DEPARTURES LISTED IN THE TABLE BELOW
WILL BE BASED ON 365 DAYS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

LOCATION   TOTAL RAINFALL    NORMAL    DEPARTURE     PERCENT
            LAST 365 DAYS    VALUE     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

ATLANTA         40.05        49.74       -9.69         81%
ATHENS          38.16        46.36       -8.20         82%
COLUMBUS        42.68        46.78       -4.10         91%
MACON           40.36        45.69       -5.33         88%
CARTERSVILLE    35.86        49.96      -14.10         72%
NE ATLANTA      35.25        53.00      -17.75         67%
WEST ATLANTA    32.98        51.21      -18.23         64%
GAINESVILLE     34.13        54.01      -19.88         63%
PEACHTREE CITY  36.16        50.02      -13.86         72%
ROME            33.74        51.94      -18.20         65%


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

CURRENT LAKE LEVELS AT USACE PROJECTS WERE MAINLY BELOW WINTER POOL
LEVELS FROM NEAR 5 FEET AT CARTERS TO NEAR 10 FEET AT LANIER. THE
EXCEPTIONS WERE ALLATOONA AT NEAR 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...AND WEST
POINT WITHIN A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL.

THE POOL LEVELS ARE PROJECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OR SLOWLY RISE
FOR MOST LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT FOUR WEEKS. THE USACE WILL TRY TO
MAINTAIN WINTER POOL LEVELS TO PROVIDE FLOOD STORAGE THROUGH THE
SPRING.

LAKE        WINTER POOL   CURRENT LEVEL    DEPARTURE
                                           IN FEET
ALLATOONA       823          825.08         +2.08
CARTERS        1072         1066.75         -5.25
HARTWELL        656          649.58         -6.42
LANIER         1070         1060.32         -9.68
THURMOND        326          319.72         -6.28
WEST POINT      628          628.61         +0.61

ADDITIONAL LAKE LEVELS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE LINK PROVIDED IN THE
RELATED WEBSITES SECTION BELOW.

AVERAGE STREAM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 7 DAYS WERE GENERALLY 2 TO 24
PERCENT OF NORMAL FLOW ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA...AND 33 TO 73 PERCENT
OF NORMAL FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA. WITH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS AN ACTIVE PATTERN SETS UP...EXPECT AVERAGE
STREAM FLOW LEVELS TO IMPROVE. PLEASE NOTE THAT CREEKS AND SMALLER
RIVERS CAN CHANGE QUICKLY DUE TO RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN IF IT OCCURS.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

FOR THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY...THE OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ARE FORECAST.

90 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR FEBRUARY THROUGH APRIL...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR
THURSDAY...FEBRUARY 2 2017.

&&

RELATED WEBSITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEBSITES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

NWS WFO ATLANTA...WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA
NWS WFO ATLANTA - DROUGHT RESOURCES...WEATHER.GOV/FFC/RAINDEF
NWS WFO ATLANTA - LAKE LEVELS...WEATHER.GOV/FFC/RRM
NOAA AHPS - RAINFALL TOTALS...WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL...WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
OFFICE OF THE GEORGIA STATE CLIMATOLOGIST...EPD.GEORGIA.GOV/OFFICE-
STATE-CLIMATOLOGIST
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY - WATER RESOURCES OF GEORGIA...
GA.WATER.USGS.GOV
GA FORESTRY COMMISSION - FIRE WEATHER FORECAST...
WEATHER.GFC.STATE.GA.US/MAPS/FDF1.GIF

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THIS DATA WAS FURNISHED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
COOPERATION WITH THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE GEORGIA STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST IN ATLANTA...THE GEORGIA ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
DIVISION...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS. CURRENT FIRE
DANGER ASSESSMENTS WERE PROVIDED BY THE GEORGIA FORESTRY COMMISSION.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NWS WFO ATLANTA
4 FALCON DRIVE
PEACHTREE CITY, GA 30269
PHONE: 770-486-1133
SR-FFC.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

31-BELANGER



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