Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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AXUS74 KSHV 040045
DGTSHV

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
645 PM CST FRI FEB 4 2017

...NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THROUGHOUT JANUARY HAS
ELIMINATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH LOUISIANA AND MUCH OF
EAST TEXAS...

SYNOPSIS...

NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WAS RECORDED ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS,
EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, AND NORTH LOUISIANA DURING JANUARY, COMPLIMENTED
BY WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINS THAT FELL JUST AFTER THE NEW YEAR, AND AGAIN
DURING MID-MONTH. THIS MARKED THE SECOND CONSECUTIVE MONTH WITH NEAR TO
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARK-LA-TEX, AND HAS EFFECTIVELY
ENDED DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. SINCE THE FIRST WEEK
OF DECEMBER, WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TEN TO IN EXCESS OF TWELVE
INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE PREVIOUSLY EXTREME AND SEVERE DROUGHT AREAS
OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, ADJACENT SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND MUCH OF NORTH
LOUISIANA. THIS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WAS ENOUGH TO SIGNIFICANTLY
REDUCE OR ELIMINATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER THESE AREAS. HOWEVER, BELOW
NORMAL RAINFALL HAS FALLEN SINCE THE START OF WINTER OVER PORTIONS OF
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, BUT ENOUGH HAS FALLEN SUCH
THAT SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN REDUCED TO MODERATE (D1)
DROUGHT. AS SUCH, THESE MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE FOR RED
RIVER COUNTY TEXAS AS WELL AS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA. ABNORMALLY DRY
(D0) CONDITIONS STILL PERSIST ACROSS PANOLA COUNTY TEXAS AND MUCH OF
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA WHERE MONTHLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE NOTABLY LOWER
DURING JANUARY.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION DURING JANUARY
HAS MAINTAINED TOPSOIL MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE REGION.
HOWEVER, TOPSOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS CONTINUE ACROSS RED RIVER COUNTY TEXAS
AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. STOCK POND LEVELS HAVE BEEN FULLY RESTORED
GIVEN THE RAINS THAT HAS FALLEN THROUGHOUT THE MID WINTER.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR RED RIVER COUNTY TEXAS. ELSEWHERE, NO BURN BANS
ARE IN EFFECT. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW TO MODERATE THROUGH
THE FIRST TWO WEEKS OF FEBRUARY.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
DESPITE THE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THAT FELL DURING JANUARY,
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE AGAIN OBSERVED AREAWIDE THROUGHOUT
THE MONTH. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE JANUARY AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURES AND
RAINFALL, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR
SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:              JANUARY 2017          DEPARTURE             RANK:
                                        FROM NORMAL      (WARMEST ON RECORD)

SHREVEPORT LA          55.3                +8.5                 8TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1875.

MONROE LA              54.4                +7.9                T4TH
NOTE: TIED FOR 4TH WARMEST JANUARY SINCE 1932. RECORDS SINCE 1930.

TEXARKANA AR           51.0                +7.1                10TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1893.

EL DORADO AR           51.0                +7.1                 9TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1892.

DEQUEEN AR             47.2                +5.6                 6TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1902.

TYLER TX               53.5                +7.0                ----
NOTE: JANUARY 2017 DID NOT RANK WITHIN THE TOP 5 AND POSSIBLY TOP 10
WARMEST ON RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1895.

LONGVIEW TX            54.1                +7.5                T5TH
NOTE: TIED FOR 5TH WARMEST JANUARY WITH 1923. RECORDS SINCE 1902.

LUFKIN TX              55.4                +6.4                 7TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1907.

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             46.1                +5.7
BROKEN BOW             46.2                +5.8
IDABEL                 47.6                +6.8


CITY:              JANUARY 2017          DEPARTURE          PERCENTAGE
                     RAINFALL           FROM NORMAL          OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA         2.56              -1.64                   61%

MONROE LA             5.51              +0.50                  110%

NATCHITOCHES LA       6.79              +1.80                  136%

TEXARKANA AR          4.27              +0.87                  126%

EL DORADO AR          3.95              -0.35                   92%

HOPE 3NE AR           2.75              -1.40                   66%

DEQUEEN AR            2.61              -0.71                   79%

MT. PLEASANT TX       4.20              +1.03                  132%

TYLER TX              5.54              +2.48                  181%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX              7.21              +3.79                  211%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX           5.50              +2.18                  166%

MARSHALL TX           4.77              +1.05                  128%

LUFKIN TX             5.65              +1.47                  135%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN            2.98              -0.34                   90%
BROKEN BOW            3.17              -0.15                   95%
IDABEL                3.26               0.00                  100%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH
SATURDAY, BEFORE A WARMUP COMMENCES SUNDAY AS WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR
RETURNS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WARM FRONT.
ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WARM
FRONT, BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY AND WILL FOCUS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION. HOWEVER, RAINFALL AMOUNTS AGAIN
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY COOL DOWN WITH
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT STILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF
NEXT WEEK.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY-
MARCH-APRIL, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AREAWIDE. HOWEVER,
GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE ONGOING WEAK LA NINA CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AND
TREND MORE NEUTRAL THROUGH THE SPRING AND SUMMER MONTHS, NO SKILL LEVEL
EXISTS FOR FORECASTING PRECIPITATION THROUGH APRIL. THUS, PROBABILITIES ARE
EQUAL FOR SEEING BELOW, NORMAL, AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION THROUGH THIS
SPRING. DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE SPRING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS REMAIN NEAR POOL STAGE...ALTHOUGH LAKE FORK...
SAM RAYBURN AND TOLEDO BEND RESERVOIRS REMAIN SOME TWO TO THREE FEET
BELOW NORMAL. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MID FEBRUARY AS
LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED, UNLESS SEVERE
DROUGHT EXPANDS BACK INTO MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF EXTREME
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD


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