Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1005 PM CST THU DEC 14 2017

...EXTREME AND SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE EXPANDED ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FOUR STATE REGION...

SYNOPSIS...

MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AGAIN WAS OBSERVED
ACROSS THE ENTIRE ARK-LA-TEX DURING NOVEMBER, FURTHER EXASPERATING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THIS WAS THE THIRD CONSECUTIVE MONTH
WHERE MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS FALLEN, WITH MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
AREA RANKING WITHIN THE TOP 5 DRIEST FALLS ON RECORD. THE FIRST TWO WEEKS
OF DECEMBER HAVE OBSERVED BELOW TO MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL AS WELL, WITH
CUMULATIVE RAINFALL TOTALS SINCE THE START OF SEPTEMBER ONLY RANGING FROM
TWO TO FIVE INCHES AREAWIDE, WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF SEVEN
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF ANGELINA COUNTY TEXAS AS WELL AS SOUTHERN SABINE,
NATCHITOCHES, AND WESTERN GRANT PARISHES IN NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS HAS
RESULTED IN RAINFALL DEFICITS OF EIGHT TO TWELVE INCHES OVER THE REGION
SINCE SEPTEMBER 1ST. AS A RESULT, THE WINTER WHEAT CROP HAS STRUGGLED TO
BECOME ESTABLISHED, STOCK PONDS CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABNORMALLY LOW, WITH
HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS NOW BEING OBSERVED AS WELL AS SEVERAL LAKES AND
RESERVOIRS ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
HAVING ALREADY DROPPED SOME THREE TO IN EXCESS OF FOUR FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL
STAGE.

THIS HAS RESULTED IN EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D3) HAVING EXPANDED TO
INCLUDE MUCH OF MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA, RED RIVER AND WESTERN BOWIE
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST TEXAS, ALL OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AS WELL AS CADDO,
BOSSIER, WEBSTER, CLAIBORNE, WESTERN BIENVILLE, AND NORTHERN DESOTO PARISHES
IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D2) HAVE EXPANDED TO
INCLUDE MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA, WITH MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS (D1) IN PLACE ACROSS ANGELINA, SOUTHERN SAN AUGUSTINE, AND SABINE
COUNTIES IN DEEP EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS SABINE, SOUTHERN NATCHITOCHES, GRANT,
AND SOUTHERN LA SALLE PARISHES IN NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL SINCE LATE AUGUST HAS RESULTED IN SIGNIFICANT
TOPSOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA,
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND NORTH LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION, FARMERS IN NORTHEAST
TEXAS HAVE REPORTED THAT STOCK WATER TANKS WERE SHOWING SIGNS OF DROUGHT
STRESS OR HAVE DRIED UP ALL-TOGETHER. PRODUCERS HAVE ALSO HAD DIFFICULTY WITH
THE WINTER WHEAT EMERGING AND GETTING ESTABLISHED.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RED RIVER, FRANKLIN, BOWIE, CASS, MARION,
AND PANOLA COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS. BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. IN NORTH LOUISIANA, BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR DESOTO,
WEBSTER, LINCOLN, AND UNION PARISHES. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MODERATE TO HIGH THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF DECEMBER, ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED LATER THIS WEEKEND AND ALSO PRIOR TO CHRISTMAS DAY WHICH
WILL HELP TO LESSEN THIS THREAT.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY DURING OCTOBER AND NOVEMBER, HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED AREAWIDE THROUGHOUT THE FALL MONTHS (SEPTEMBER-NOVEMBER). BELOW IS
A LIST OF THE FALL TEMPERATURES AND THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR
SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                    FALL AVG.      DEP. FROM NORMAL
                        TEMPERATURE

SHREVEPORT LA              68.8              +2.2

MONROE LA                  68.0              +1.6

TEXARKANA AR               66.4              +1.9

EL DORADO AR               65.9              +1.8

DEQUEEN AR                 64.7              +1.6

TYLER TX                   68.7              +2.4

LONGVIEW TX                68.8              +2.6

LUFKIN TX                  69.0              +1.2

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN                 63.5              +0.1
BROKEN BOW                 63.1              -0.3
IDABEL                     64.6              +1.0

MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS ALSO BEEN OBSERVED AREAWIDE THROUGHOUT THE FALL
MONTHS (SEPTEMBER-NOVEMBER), WITH MOST LOCATIONS RECORDING THEIR TOP 5 DRIEST
FALLS ON RECORD. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE FALL RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES
FROM NORMAL, PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, AND DRIEST FALL RANKS, FOR SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                  FALL RAINFALL/    PERCENTAGE   DRIEST FALL
                     (DEP. FROM NORMAL)  OF NORMAL       RANK

SHREVEPORT LA          2.56 (-10.09)         20%         4TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1872)

MONROE LA              3.24 (-10.01)         24%         5TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

NATCHITOCHES LA        2.34 (-11.41)         17%         3RD
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

TEXARKANA AR           4.29 (-8.89)          33%         8TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

EL DORADO AR           3.73 (-9.46)          28%         2ND
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

HOPE 3NE AR            2.51 (-11.68)         18%         1ST
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

DEQUEEN AR             2.28 (-10.76)         17%         1ST
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)

MT. PLEASANT TX        3.70 (-8.61)          30%         3RD
(RECORDS SINCE 1905)

TYLER TX               3.21 (-9.08)          26%         N/A
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX               4.09 (-8.25)          33%         N/A
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX            3.97 (-8.44)          32%         6TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)

MARSHALL TX            3.49 (-9.34)          27%         5TH
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

LUFKIN TX              6.91 (-7.01)          50%         ---
(RECORDS SINCE 1907)

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             4.08 (-10.32)         28%
BROKEN BOW             3.49 (-10.91)         24%
IDABEL                 2.75 (-11.46)         19%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THIS
WEEKEND, IN WAKE OF THE LATEST COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. HOWEVER, RAINFALL WILL
INCREASE AND BECOME WIDESPREAD SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING, AHEAD OF AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND, WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR TWO INCHES POSSIBLE. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL RETURN TO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL ONLY
TEMPORARILY ALLEVIATE THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN PLACE.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER-JANUARY-
FEBRUARY, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION AREAWIDE. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK LA NINA THAT HAS
DEVELOPED IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WINTER.
THUS, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WINTER AND
INTO THE EARLY SPRING MONTHS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS HAVE FALLEN TWO TO FOUR FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL
STAGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. LITTLE CHANGE TO ADDITIONAL SLOW FALLS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF DECEMBER AS BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN EARLY JANUARY.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD



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