Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FGUS71 KILN 051958
ESFILN
INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-
135-161-187-191-201-OHC001-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-041-
045-047-049-057-061-065-071-073-089-091-097-107-109-113-129-131-
135-141-145-149-159-165-192000-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
258 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015


...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

...FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH MARCH 19 IS NEAR NORMAL FOR CENTRAL
OHIO THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND ABOVE NORMAL FOR SOUTHERN
OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA.

THIS OUTLOOK IS THE THIRD IN A BIWEEKLY SERIES OF OUTLOOKS FOR
THE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING.

NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST SOME MINOR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE. ABOVE NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL MEANS AT LEAST A CHANCE OF
MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING WITH SOME POINTS POSSIBLY REACHING
MODERATE OR MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS.

THE FLOOD OUTLOOK IS ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES IN WINTER AND
EARLY SPRING TO SUMMARIZE BASIN CONDITIONS AND TO ASSESS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

THE FACTORS CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
CURRENT STREAMFLOW AND RESERVOIR LEVELS COMPARED TO NORMAL FOR
THE PERIOD...WATER EQUIVALENT IN ANY SNOW PACK...SOIL MOISTURE
AND EXPECTED PRECIPITATION.

...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
SNOW COVER ACROSS THE AREA RANGED FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE UPPER
REACHES OF THE ST MARYS/AUGLAIZE...GREAT MIAMI AND SCIOTO RIVER
BASINS...TO A WIDE RANGE OF 3 TO AS HIGH AS 12 INCHES IN SOUTHERN
OHIO AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA...TO KENTUCKY SNOW OF 5 TO AS HIGH AS
18 INCHES.

...STREAMFLOW...
STREAMFLOW VALUES WERE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID FEBRUARY FOR MOST OF
OHIO AND INDIANA...BASED ON THE 14-DAY MEAN STREAMFLOW FROM THE
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY. SOUTHERN OHIO...SOUTHERN INDIANA AND
NORTHERN KENTUCKY HAD BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL STREAMFLOWS.

...ICE...
WHILE ICE HAS MELTED SLIGHT ALONG SOME AREA RIVERS...THERE IS
STILL SUBSTANTIAL ICING ON SOME AREA TRIBUTARIES.

...SOIL MOISTURE...
SOIL MOISTURE WAS NEAR NORMAL...THOUGH FROZEN SOILS NOW EXIST
ACROSS THE AREA WITH RECENT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...
OPTIMIZING ANY FUTURE RUNOFF.

...RESERVOIR CAPACITY...
AREA RESERVOIRS ARE EITHER AT OR EVEN BELOW WINTER
POOL...ALLOWING FOR A GREATER FLOOD CONTROL CAPACITY.

...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
FOR THE FIRST WEEK OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD...A SLOW SNOWMELT MAY
OCCUR...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE RAPID ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A HIGH
RISK OF FLOODING IN THE IMMEDIATE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE OUTLOOK
PERIOD.

FOR THE 8 TO 4 DAY OUTLOOK PERIOD...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST WITH NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

REAL TIME RIVER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
ALONG RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OHIO...NORTHERN KENTUCKY
AND SOUTHEAST INDIANA CAN BE FOUND AT (ALL IN LOWERCASE):
WEATHER.GOV/ILN/ AND THEN CLICK ON THE RIVERS AND LAKES TAB.


$$








USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.