Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS71 KRHA 020154
FFHPA2
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
931 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT
THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.

.B RHA 141002 Z DH00/DC1410020131/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:
:IDENT    1HR   3HR   6HR  12HR  HEADWATER NAME
:======= ====  ====  ====  ====  ====================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Chenango River...
SHBN6     3.5/  3.6/  3.7/  3.8 :Sherburne (8.5ft.)
:SHBN6md  3.9/  4.1/  4.2/  4.3  Sherburne (9)
:SHBN6mj  5.0/  5.2/  5.3/  5.4  Sherburne (10.6)
:  Otselic River...
CINN6     5.1/  5.4/  5.7/  5.8 :Cincinnatus (9ft.)
: ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table.
:  Cohocton River...
CMPN6     3.4/  4.0/  4.3/  4.4 :Campbell (8ft.)
:CMPN6md  4.4/  5.2/  5.7/  5.9  Campbell (10)
:CMPN6mj  5.2/  6.4/  7.0/  7.2  Campbell (11)
:  Canisteo River...
WCRN6     4.1/  4.6/  5.0/  5.3 :West Cameron (17ft)
:WCRN6md  4.4/  4.9/  5.3/  5.7  West Cameron (18)
:WCRN6mj  5.3/  6.1/  6.6/  7.2  West Cameron (21)
:  Towanda Creek...
MONP1     4.0/  4.0/  4.1/  4.6 :Monroeton (15.5ft)
:MONP1md  4.5/  4.5/  4.7/  5.2  Monroeton (17)
:MONP1mj  5.2/  5.3/  5.4/  6.2  Monroeton (18.5)
:  Tunkhannock Creek...
TNKP1     3.5/  4.0/  4.6/  5.1 :Tunkhannock (11ft.)
:TNKP1md  4.1/  4.8/  5.5/  6.2  Tunkhannock (14)
:TNKP1mj  4.8/  5.6/  6.5/  7.4  Tunkhannock (17)
:  Lackawanna River...
OFRP1     5.3/  5.8/  6.4/  6.8 :Old Forge (11ft.)
:OFRP1md  5.9/  6.6/  7.2/  7.7  Old Forge (13)
:OFRP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Old Forge (16)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  East Branch Delaware River...
MRGN6     4.3/  4.7/  5.3/  5.8 :Margaretville (11ft)
:MRGN6md  4.9/  5.4/  6.1/  6.8  Margaretville (12)
:MRGN6mj  5.5/  6.1/  7.0/  8.0  Margaretville (13)
:  West Branch Delaware River...
WALN6     3.6/  3.7/  3.8/  3.9 :Walton (9.5ft.)
:WALN6md  5.4/  5.7/  5.8/  6.0  Walton (14)
:WALN6mj  6.4/  7.0/  7.1/  7.3  Walton (16)
:  Beaverkill Creek...
CKFN6     3.7/  4.3/  4.9/  5.4 :Cooks Falls (10ft.)
:CKFN6md  5.7/  6.9/  7.4/  8.0  Cooks Falls (16)
:CKFN6mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Cooks Falls (18)
:  Lackawaxen River...
HWYP1     5.2/  5.7/  5.9/  6.1 :Hawley (11ft.)
:HWYP1md  5.7/  6.2/  6.4/  6.6  Hawley (12)
:HWYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Hawley (20)
:
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Tioga River...
MFDP1     4.0/  4.1/  4.4/  5.1 :Mansfield (12ft.)
:MFDP1md  4.4/  4.6/  4.9/  5.7  Mansfield (13)
:MFDP1mj  5.0/  5.2/  5.6/  6.7  Mansfield (14)
:  Penns Creek...
PNCP1     3.0/  3.4/  3.7/  4.0 :Penns Creek (8ft.)
:PNCP1md  3.6/  4.2/  4.6/  5.0  Penns Creek (10)
:PNCP1mj  4.5/  5.3/  5.9/  6.4  Penns Creek (12)
:  Frankstown Branch Juniata River...
WIBP1     2.8/  3.0/  3.5/  3.7 :Williamsburg (12ft)
:WIBP1md  3.0/  3.2/  3.8/  4.0  Williamsburg (13)
:WIBP1mj  3.5/  3.7/  4.3/  4.6  Williamsburg (15)
:  Little Juniata River...
SPKP1     2.5/  2.8/  3.3/  3.6 :Spruce Creek (8ft.)
:SPKP1md  3.0/  3.4/  4.0/  4.5  Spruce Creek (10)
:SPKP1mj  4.3/  4.8/  5.7/  6.5  Spruce Creek (14)
:  Aughwick Creek...
SLYP1     3.7/  3.7/  3.8/  4.0 :Shirleysburg (10ft.)
:SLYP1md  4.5/  4.5/  4.7/  4.9  Shirleysburg (12)
:SLYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Shirleysburg (20)
:  Sherman Creek...
SMDP1     3.6/  3.9/  4.2/  4.3 :Shermans Dale (9ft)
:SMDP1md  4.4/  4.7/  5.2/  5.3  Shermans Dale (11)
:SMDP1mj  6.3/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Shermans Dale (16)
:  Conodoguinet Creek...
HGSP1     4.4/  4.4/  4.4/  4.4 :Hogestown (8ft.)
:HGSP1md  5.6/  5.6/  5.6/  5.7  Hogestown (10)
:HGSP1mj  6.5/  6.9/  6.9/  7.0  Hogestown (12)
:  Yellow Breeches Creek...
CPHP1     3.9/  4.0/  4.1/  4.1 :Camp Hill (7ft.)
:CPHP1md  4.9/  5.0/  5.0/  5.1  Camp Hill (9)
:CPHP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  7.7  Camp Hill (13)
:  Swatara Creek...
HTVP1     3.6/  3.6/  3.8/  4.0 :Harper Tavern (9ft.)
:HTVP1md  4.6/  4.7/  4.9/  5.2  Harper Tavern (12)
:HTVP1mj  5.8/  6.0/  6.3/  6.7  Harper Tavern (15)
:  Conestoga River...
LNCP1     3.5/  3.7/  3.9/  4.2 :Lancaster (11ft.)
:LNCP1md  4.2/  4.3/  4.5/  4.9  Lancaster (13)
:LNCP1mj  4.8/  5.0/  5.3/  5.7  Lancaster (15)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
LGVP1     3.5/  3.7/  3.8/  4.0 :Landingville (8ft)
:LGVP1md  4.3/  4.6/  4.8/  5.2  Landingville (12)
:LGVP1mj  4.8/  5.2/  5.5/  6.0  Landingville (14)
:
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
BREP1     5.1/  5.3/  6.0/  6.4 :Berne (12ft.)
:BREP1md  6.1/  6.4/  7.3/  7.9  Berne (14)
:BREP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Berne (16)
:  Bush Kill...
SHOP1     6.1/  6.4/  6.6/  6.7 :Shoemakers (6ft.)
:SHOP1md  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  7.6  Shoemakers (7)
:SHOP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Shoemakers (8)
:  Brodhead Creek...
MNSP1     5.5/  6.1/  6.9/  7.2 :Minisink Hills(10ft)
:MNSP1md  6.4/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Minisink Hills(12)
:MNSP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Minisink Hills(15)
:  Little Lehigh Creek...
APAP1     4.3/  4.6/  5.1/  6.0 :Allentown-10th (8ft)
:APAP1md  5.3/  5.7/  6.3/  7.6  Allentown-10th (10)
:APAP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Allentown-10th (12)
:  Perkiomen Creek...
GRAP1     3.2/  3.8/  4.0/  4.7 :Graterford (11ft.)
:GRAP1md  3.7/  4.5/  4.8/  5.6  Graterford (13)
:GRAP1mj  4.4/  5.4/  5.7/  7.0  Graterford (16)
:  Neshaminy Creek...
LNGP1     2.9/  3.4/  3.4/  3.8 :Langhorne (9ft.)
:LNGP1md  3.2/  3.7/  3.8/  4.2  Langhorne (10)
:LNGP1mj  3.7/  4.4/  4.5/  5.0  Langhorne (12)
:  Chester Creek...
CHSP1     2.5/  2.5/  2.8/  3.5 :Chester (8ft.)
:CHSP1md  3.2/  3.3/  3.6/  4.4  Chester (10)
:CHSP1mj  4.5/  4.6/  5.1/  6.3  Chester (14)
:  West Branch Brandywine Creek...
MODP1     5.6/  5.8/  6.3/  6.5 :Modena (9ft)
:MODP1md  6.5/  6.9/  7.4/  7.8  Modena (10)
:MODP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Modena (12)
:  East Branch Brandywine Creek...
DWNP1     2.8/  2.8/  2.9/  3.1 :Downingtown (7ft)
:DWNP1md  3.3/  3.3/  3.5/  3.7  Downingtown (8)
:DWNP1mj  3.8/  3.8/  3.9/  4.2  Downingtown (9)
:  Brandywine Creek...
CDFP1     2.4/  2.9/  3.4/  3.5 :Chadds Ford (9ft.)
:CDFP1md  3.0/  3.9/  4.4/  4.6  Chadds Ford (11)
:CDFP1mj  3.8/  4.8/  5.6/  5.8  Chadds Ford (13)
:  Christina River...
CHBD1     2.0/  2.1/  2.5/  3.4 :Coochs Brdg(10.5ft)
:CHBD1md  2.6/  2.8/  3.3/  4.4  Coochs Brdg(11.5)
:CHBD1mj  3.5/  3.9/  4.4/  6.2  Coochs Brdg(12.5)
:  White Clay Creek...
DPKD1     2.3/  2.4/  2.6/  3.3 :Delaware Pk (13ft)
:DPKD1md  3.3/  3.4/  3.7/  4.6  Delaware Pk (15)
:DPKD1mj  4.8/  5.0/  5.5/  7.0  Delaware Pk (16.5)
:  Red Clay Creek...
RCCD1     2.8/  3.1/  3.3/  3.9 :Wooddale (7ft)
:RCCD1md  3.6/  3.9/  4.3/  5.0  Wooddale (8.5)
:RCCD1mj  4.3/  4.6/  5.1/  6.0  Wooddale (10)
.END

UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE

APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...

.BR RHA 20141002 Z DH00/DC1410020154/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6
:                 RAINFALL
:IDENT    0.1    0.5    1.0    2.0     3.0     5.0   LOCATION
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= =======  ================
CANN6DEL    23/   115/   297/  1037/   2634/   9194 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi
DWNN6DEL    15/    65/   163/   623/   1785/   7222 :PEPACTON-372sqmi
LWKP1WPK    11/    35/    90/   334/    885/   3375 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm
NVRN6NVR     2/    16/    40/   138/    363/   1400 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi
.END

:===============================================================
:          EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT
:      NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION
:===============================================================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
.B RHA 141002 Z DH00/DC1410020131/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:GageID   1hr   3hr   6hr   12hr  rainfall for indicated stages
:  Lackawanna River...
ARHP1     4.9/  5.0/  5.5/  6.3 :Archbald (8ft.)
:ARHP1md  5.5/  5.7/  6.1/  7.2  Archbald (9)
:ARHP1mj  6.1/  6.3/  6.9/  8.0  Archbald (10)
PKIP1     4.2/  4.3/  4.4/  4.8 :Scranton (7.5ft.)
:PKIP1md  4.4/  4.5/  4.6/  5.0  Scranton (8)
:PKIP1mj  4.9/  4.9/  5.1/  5.6  Scranton (9.5)
.END
: Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF...
.E ARHP1 20141002 DC1410020154/DH03/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 1.7/1.6/1.6/1.6/1.6/1.6/1.6/1.6
.E PKIP1 20141002 DC1410020154/DH03/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 1.1/1.2/1.2/1.2/1.1/1.1/1.1/1.1
:chps
$$
NNNN



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