Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 260118
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
918 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...

PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OFF THE EAST COAST WILL KEEP A
WARM AIR MASS OVER THE REGION. INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL BRING THE
RISK FOR SOME NEEDED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-260915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
918 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           60           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       63           84           63           84
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW 11                     SW 14
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 14        SW 12         S  7        SW 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.06         0.08         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 PM        11 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       2 AM   CONTINUING        11 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               88           49           96           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         7580           40         6340
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 10        SW 12        SW  8        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        90960          320       158500
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           91            0          159
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-260915-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
918 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           60           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       63           78           61           81
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  8                     SW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12        SW  9         S  8        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.18         0.11         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                     2            4            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       9 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               87           59           98           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         5770           80         7040
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 15        SW 11         S 10        SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        63470          800       147840
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           63            1          148
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-260915-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
918 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           50           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       65           85           64           85
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  9                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW  9         S  7        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.06         0.08         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM        11 AM   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                       2 AM   CONTINUING        11 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               81           48           90           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         8460            0         7370
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  9        SW 10         S  9         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        84600            0       132660
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           85            0          133
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-260915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
918 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           30           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           84           62           83
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  9                     SW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7        SW  9         S  7        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.14         0.01         0.10         0.24
PRECIP DURATION                     2            1            2            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM        12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               91           48          100           53
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         8330           60         6280
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 10        SW 14         S  8        SW 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0       116620          480       119320
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          117            0          119
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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