Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 250914
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
514 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT WILL BECOME INTERTWINED WITH THE SEABREEZE TODAY.
THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
FOLLOW AND BRING HOT...HUMID AND SULTRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND AND
ON MONDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. IN
ITS WAKE...COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FOR
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-260115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
514 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           72           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            0
INVERSION             78/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           94           51
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4300                      5710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  6
VENTILATION RATE      55900                     34260
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  32 FAIR      23 FAIR
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-260115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
514 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            2
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           72           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  3        S  4         LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  3        LGT/VAR      S  8 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.04         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            0
INVERSION             79/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        57           100          52
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4670                      6290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W  6
VENTILATION RATE      65380                     37740
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      28 FAIR      27 FAIR
ADI LATE              43 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        2            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-260115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
514 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          89           71           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  4         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             77/0900      2100         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        56           99           51
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4600                      6020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  6
VENTILATION RATE      46000                     36120
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      25 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              42 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        1            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
514 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          91           71           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  3         LGT/VAR      S  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
INVERSION             78/0900      2100         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        54           99           50
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4900                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W  6
VENTILATION RATE      58800                     37800
ADI EARLY             25 FAIR      34 FAIR      26 FAIR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  1 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            5            10
MAX LVORI LATE        1            10           2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27




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