Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 162046
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
346 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO THE CAROLINAS INTO
TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS ON WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS. COOLER AND DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FOR THURSDAY.
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WITH MORE SHOWER
CHANCES. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
BUT WITH CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-171300-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
346 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30           40
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           70           56           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  3        LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  9        W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2
INVERSION             1800         63/1300      1800         67/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2600                      3240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 23
VENTILATION RATE                   31200                     74520
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  8 POOR       37 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  23 FAIR      10 POOR      69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        8            4            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-171300-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
346 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           69           56           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW 10        W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
INVERSION             1800         63/1300      1800         68/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          60           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            2            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2670                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 23
VENTILATION RATE                   40050                     85100
ADI EARLY             2 VERY POOR  23 FAIR      8 POOR       37 FAIR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  36 FAIR      10 POOR      65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        9            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-171300-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
346 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            0            30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           72           57           75
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW  8        W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       0                                      1
INVERSION             1800         66/1300      1800         69/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          58           98           54
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2580                      3620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     W 25
VENTILATION RATE                   25800                     90500
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  28 FAIR      9 POOR       61 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-171300-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
346 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            30           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           73           57           76
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  3         S  3         SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  8        W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       0                         1            1
INVERSION             1800         66/1300      1800         71/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          55           100          48
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2700                      4360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 26
VENTILATION RATE                   37800                     113360
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  25 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  69 GOOD
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  41 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       79 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            10           4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-171300-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
346 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            30           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           71           57           74
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  3         S  4         SW  6        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  9        W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            1
INVERSION             1800         64/1300      1800         69/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          58           99           50
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            2            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2670                      4260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 23
VENTILATION RATE                   40050                     97980
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  24 FAIR      8 POOR       52 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       70 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            9            4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

17



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