Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 142010
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A dry cold frontal passage Friday evening will bring at or slightly below
normal temperatures Saturday. Center of high pressure overhead on Sunday,
will slide off the coast and offshore early next week with temperatures
at or slightly above the norm. By the mid-week period, low pressure will
approach from the Gulf Coast region along with increasing rain chances.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-151215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           60           32           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         S  3         NW  6        N  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        W  8         N  5         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         45/0800      1700         36/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        85           43           80           36
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2840                      2780
Transport wnd (mph)                W 20                      N  6
Ventilation rate                   56800                     16680
ADI early             2 Very poor  31 Fair      6 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  43 Gen good  3 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            4
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-151215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           59           31           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         W  7         N  4         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         41/0800      1700         34/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        85           44           82           36
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2640                      2630
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      N  2
Ventilation rate                   47520                     5260
ADI early             2 Very poor  37 Fair      6 Very poor  7 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  48 Gen good  2 Very poor  9 poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-151215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           56           30           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        NE  3        NW  6        NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         W  8         N  4         SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         39/0800      1700         34/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        83           43           83           36
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2530                      2530
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      SW  2
Ventilation rate                   43010                     5060
ADI early             3 Very poor  33 Fair      8 poor       7 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  47 Gen good  3 Very poor  6 Very poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-151215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           60           32           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        SW  3        NW  6        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8         N  5         SE  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         46/0800      1700         37/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        86           43           84           39
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2710                      2620
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      E  3
Ventilation rate                   48780                     7860
ADI early             3 Very poor  29 Fair      8 poor       11 poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  41 Gen good  2 Very poor  13 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-151215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          34           59           31           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SW  3        NW  5        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8         N  3         S  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         43/0800      1700         35/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        89           42           86           38
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2600                      2560
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      SE  5
Ventilation rate                   46800                     12800
ADI early             3 Very poor  33 Fair      8 poor       12 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  41 Gen good  2 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-151215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
310 PM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           57           30           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  3        NW  5        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        W  8         N  4         S  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         40/0800      1700         34/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        85           41           85           37
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2510                      2510
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      S  6
Ventilation rate                   42670                     15060
ADI early             2 Very poor  33 Fair      7 poor       12 poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  44 Gen good  2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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