Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 170659
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Canadian high pressure building into the Mid-Atlantic states
today will bring several days of cool, dry weather to the
Carolinas. Temperatures should begin to warm up this weekend as
the high moves off the coast.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...none.

NCZ105>110-172300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE 10        NE  6        NE 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        NE  6        NE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             55/0930      1900         56/0930
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        38           97           46
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3920                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     NE  8
Ventilation rate      66640                     33600
ADI early             74 Good      41 Gen good  45 Gen good
ADI late              76 Good      5 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-172300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  9        NE  4        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        NE  4        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             55/0930      1900         56/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        35           94           43
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4030                      4180
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     E  5
Ventilation rate      68510                     20900
ADI early             69 Good      41 Gen good  44 Gen good
ADI late              68 Good      3 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            6
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-172300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           40           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE 10        NE  4        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  4        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             54/0930      1900         55/0930
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        32           96           37
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4080                      3920
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 15                     E  6
Ventilation rate      61200                     23520
ADI early             73 Good      37 Fair      46 Gen good
ADI late              71 Good      3 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            3            7
Max LVORI late        1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-172300-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          68           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE 11        NE  6        NE  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 11        NE  6        NE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             56/0930      1900         57/0930
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        38           91           48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3750                      4210
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     NE  6
Ventilation rate      63750                     25260
ADI early             72 Good      42 Gen good  39 Fair
ADI late              68 Good      6 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            5
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-172300-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           41           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE 10        NE  4        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  5        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             55/0930      1900         56/0930
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        33           90           40
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4060                      4110
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 17                     E  6
Ventilation rate      69020                     24660
ADI early             74 Good      43 Gen good  41 Gen good
ADI late              70 Good      4 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            3            5
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-172300-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
259 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           40           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  9        NE  4        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE 10        NE  4        NE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             54/0930      1900         55/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        30           88           34
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4070                      3860
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 13                     E  8
Ventilation rate      52910                     30880
ADI early             69 Good      33 Fair      43 Gen good
ADI late              66 Good      3 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            3            5
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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