Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 280942
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
542 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER
WILL COMBINE WITH TWO DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE OH VALLEY
REGION TO BRING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE AREA FOR MOST
OF THE WEEKEND...BEFORE IT DROPS INTO KY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
PATTERN SHOULD LEAD TO CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KYZ068-079-083-084-282015-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
542 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
                    THEN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....73.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (73200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................36 INCREASING TO 53 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.45 - 0.85 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................22 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............9.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.38 - 0.76 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (50200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................22 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-282015-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
542 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (29000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.56 - 1.32 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................30 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............9.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.23 - 0.87 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (40900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................23.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-282015-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
542 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
                    THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....74.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (74000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................32 INCREASING TO 53 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.31 - 0.90 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................47 DECREASING TO 6 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.44 - 1.22 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (46900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................28.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 - 0.25 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
IN THE MORNING.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
JP



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