Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 210913
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Above normal temperatures will continue for the upcoming 7 days.
Abundant rain is expected today through saturday night...possibly
resulting in flooding. Thunderstorms look likely Saturday.
Another cold front will move across the Midsouth on Sunday
bringing high temperatures back down into the 60s. Conditions look
dry early next week.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     100          100          50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.62         0.98         0.08
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           12           2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      47 (-29)     40 (-10)     54
RH % (24h Trend)      70 (+2)      96 (-1)      72
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 9-13 G20                N 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NE 9-13 G20  NE 9-13 G19  NE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    293                       226
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   961                       743
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    379                       312
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1243                      1025
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NE  9                     NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 21                     NE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)     3411                      1560
Category Day          2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 54                        56
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NE 12                     E  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NE 27                     E 12
Dispersion Index      37           25           18
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 77 percent. West winds around 5 mph becoming east in
the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south
after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     100          100          70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    1.07         1.74         0.29
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (-21)     45 (-11)     58
RH % (24h Trend)      64 (-1)      96 (-2)      72
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 9-13 G19                N 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NE 10-14 G21 NE 8-12 G18  NE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    346                       170
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1134                      559
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    408                       233
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1337                      763
Transport Wnd (m/s)   N 11                      NE  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 24                      NE  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     4488                      932
Category Day          3                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 61                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NE 13                     E  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NE 28                     E  8
Dispersion Index      27           29           13
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-212315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     100          100          60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.76         1.42         0.32
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      55 (-22)     46 (-9)      59
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (+9)      98 (+2)      73
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 7-11 G17                N 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 8-12 G18   NE 6-10      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    244                       101
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   802                       332
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    365                       222
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1199                      728
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NE  9                     NE  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 21                     NE  8
Vent Index (m2/s)     3285                      888
Category Day          2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 60                        63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  N 10                      E  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  N 22                      E  9
Dispersion Index      25           25           11
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south after
midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming west
in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-212315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     100          100          70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.87         1.44         0.53
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      60 (-16)     49 (-11)     63
RH % (24h Trend)      65 (+3)      99 (+5)      74
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 5-9                     N 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   N 7-11 G17   NE 6-10      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    239                       107
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   784                       350
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    360                       226
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1181                      742
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  7                     NE  2
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15                     NE  3
Vent Index (m2/s)     2520                      452
Category Day          2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 63                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NE  9                     S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NE 21                     S  8
Dispersion Index      34           23           7
LAL                   3            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     90           100          70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    1.12         1.36         0.40
Precip Dur (hrs)      12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (-13)     52 (-11)     66
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (+5)      99 (+5)      69
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NE 5-9                    N 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NE 7-11 G18  NE 5-9       Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    428                       321
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   1404                      1052
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    500                       392
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   1639                      1287
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  6                     W  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 14                     W  8
Vent Index (m2/s)     3000                      1568
Category Day          2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  E  9                      S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  E 19                      S 12
Dispersion Index      34           22           33
LAL                   4            2            2
LASI                  2            2            3
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. East winds around 5 mph becoming south
after midnight.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
313 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     70           100          70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.62         0.70         0.33
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            12           9
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      70 (-6)      58 (-7)      72
RH % (24h Trend)      68 (+7)      100 (+8)     72
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 4-8                     SW 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   E 4-8        E 3-7        S 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    963                       1309
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3160                      4294
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1087                      1434
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   3566                      4704
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  8                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 17                      SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s)     8696                      11472
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  7                      S  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 15                      S 16
Dispersion Index      62           25           62
LAL                   4            4            2
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             D            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$



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