Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 231118
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE
MIDSOUTH FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...THEN DIMINISH FROM THE SOUTHWEST
THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY PUSHING MILD AIR
INTO THE AREA.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT WITH A
CONTINUING CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
WEST BECOMING STRONG AND GUSTY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY WITH STRONG
AND GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS. SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY.
PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER IS FORECAST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AT LEAST SEVERAL DAYS.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-232330-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          50           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.78         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (-4)      41 (-7)      51
RH % (24H TREND)      77 (+25)     100 (+5)     43
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 8-12                   W 14-18 G24
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 7-11       S 9-13 G22   SW 12-16 G24
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    300                       2096
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   984                       6878
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    386                       2182
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1266                      7160
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      W 16
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W 36
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3088                      34912
CATEGORY DAY          2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61                        45
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 13                      W 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 28                      W 27
DISPERSION INDEX      30           100          90
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-232330-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          40           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.92         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      66 (+1)      43 (-8)      55
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (+22)     100 (+3)     38
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 9-13                   W 12-16 G21
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 7-11       S 10-14 G22  W 10-14 G21
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    458                       1875
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1503                      6151
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    520                       1937
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1707                      6355
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      W 14
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      W 32
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4160                      27118
CATEGORY DAY          3                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64                        48
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 13                      W 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 30                      W 25
DISPERSION INDEX      33           102          88
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  2            3            4
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-232330-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          50           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.88         0.06         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      64 (-1)      46 (-5)      52
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (+29)     100 (+18)    45
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9                    W 13-17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9       S 7-11       SW 11-15 G21
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    201                       1716
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   658                       5630
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    322                       1837
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1056                      6027
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  7                     W 15
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     W 33
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2254                      27555
CATEGORY DAY          2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59                        46
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  SE 11                     W 13
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  SE 25                     W 29
DISPERSION INDEX      26           94           108
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-232330-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          40           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.99         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      66 (-1)      47 (-7)      54
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (+32)     100 (+19)    43
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 6-10                   W 13-17 G23
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 6-10       S 8-12 G20   W 11-15 G22
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    230                       1522
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   754                       4992
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    351                       1643
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1152                      5390
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  8                     W 13
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 17                     W 29
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2808                      21359
CATEGORY DAY          2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 60                        47
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 12                      W 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 26                      W 26
DISPERSION INDEX      32           95           106
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-232330-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          30           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    1.03         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (+2)      47 (-6)      56
RH % (24H TREND)      73 (+23)     100 (+6)     38
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 8-12                   W 11-15 G20
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 7-11       S 10-14 G22  W 9-13 G20
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    398                       1525
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1305                      5004
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    470                       1597
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1541                      5239
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      W 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W 25
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3760                      17567
CATEGORY DAY          2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64                        49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 12                      W 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 26                      W 22
DISPERSION INDEX      30           101          86
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-232330-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
518 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    1.02         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      67 (0)       50 (-3)      58
RH % (24H TREND)      73 (+32)     96 (+5)      39
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 6-10                   W 10-14 G19
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 4-8        S 8-12 G18   W 8-12 G18
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    246                       1307
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   808                       4289
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    370                       1431
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1214                      4696
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  6                      W 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2220                      14310
CATEGORY DAY          2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 62                        50
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 10                      W  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 23                      W 21
DISPERSION INDEX      22           88           97
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

JCL



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