Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 041009
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

AN UNUSUALLY STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT ESPECIALLY FOR MARCH WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH FROM THE NORTH TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET
BEHIND THE FRONT AS NORTHERLY WINDS BECOME VERY STRONG AND GUSTY.
WITH THE MUCH COLDER AIR...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO WINTRY PRECIPITATION.
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH BY NOON THURSDAY. WINTER STORM
WARNINGS AND WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED. MILD AIR WILL PUSH INTO NORTH
MISSISSIPPI TODAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE.

PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OUT OF THE MIDSOUTH THURSDAY AFTERNOON BUT
BITTER COLD WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER
TEENS FRIDAY MORNING WITH WIND CHILL READINGS DROPPING TO BELOW ZERO
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE OVER THE WEEKEND BUT REMAIN BELOW NORMAL.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-042315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          80           20
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW         SNOW
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.86         0.75         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-14)     18 (-16)     26
RH % (24H TREND)      80 (0)       91 (-8)      55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 13-17 G29               N 10-14 G24
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 15-19 G30  N 14-18 G30  N 7-11 G20
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    641                       1090
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2102                      3575
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    727                       1176
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2384                      3858
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N 12                      N  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 26                      N 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     8724                      9408
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 36                        22
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N 12                      N  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 27                      N 20
DISPERSION INDEX      55           71           56
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      0            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 5 TO 10. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-042315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          100          20
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.87         1.15         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           11           1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      47 (-8)      21 (-22)     28
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (-10)     91 (-9)      58
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 12-16 G31               N 14-18 G29
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 18-22 G34  N 18-22 G34  N 10-14 G25
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    583                       993
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1913                      3257
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    645                       1055
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2117                      3461
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N 13                      N 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 30                      N 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     8385                      10550
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47                        23
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N 11                      N 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 24                      N 26
DISPERSION INDEX      49           84           81
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 10. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-042315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          100          30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SLEET        SNOW
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.87         1.02         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           12           1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      42 (-18)     17 (-22)     25
RH % (24H TREND)      80 (+5)      93 (-5)      55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 7-11 G23                N 8-12 G22
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 10-14 G25  N 10-14 G26  N 5-9 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    549                       905
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1801                      2970
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    670                       1026
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2198                      3367
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N 12                      N  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 28                      N 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     8040                      9234
CATEGORY DAY          4                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 39                        20
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N 11                      N  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 24                      N 20
DISPERSION INDEX      47           66           52
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 5. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-042315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          100          40
PRECIP TYPE           SLEET/RAIN   SNOW/FZ RA   SNOW
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.86         1.07         0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      48 (-12)     20 (-25)     27
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (-6)      91 (-6)      55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 8-12 G27                N 11-15 G27
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 12-16 G30  N 12-16 G30  N 7-11 G22
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    514                       860
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1685                      2820
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    635                       981
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2082                      3217
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N 12                      N 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 26                      N 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     7620                      9810
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46                        21
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  N 10                      N 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  N 22                      N 23
DISPERSION INDEX      42           69           62
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 10. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-042315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          100          30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.83         0.84         0.07
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      57 (-3)      23 (-28)     28
RH % (24H TREND)      80 (-10)     95 (-5)      60
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   W 9-13 G26                N 13-17 G29
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 15-19 G32  N 15-19 G33  N 10-14 G26
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    433                       887
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1420                      2911
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    505                       959
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1656                      3147
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   N 11                      N 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      N 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     5555                      9590
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58                        24
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NW 10                     N 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NW 21                     N 26
DISPERSION INDEX      44           85           73
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-042315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
409 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     100          100          50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SLEET/RAIN   SLEET
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.65         0.64         0.12
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      12           12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (-3)      24 (-31)     29
RH % (24H TREND)      66 (-16)     93 (-5)      59
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 6-10                   N 9-13 G22
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NW 8-12 G22  N 8-12 G23   N 7-11 G18
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    704                       799
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2309                      2621
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    828                       923
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2715                      3027
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NW  9                     N  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     N 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     7452                      8307
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 63                        25
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  W  9                      N 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  W 21                      N 23
DISPERSION INDEX      59           64           65
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 10. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND
5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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