Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 011901
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    69-74 (-4)   52-57        64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  58-63 (+4)   92-97        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        SW  6 G15    W  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.63         0.39         0.07
LAL                   2            5            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 14
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  8 G16    SW  7 G19    W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    69-74 (-2)   52-57        62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   55-60 (-4)   91-96        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.66         0.41         0.08
LAL                   2            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 18
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  W  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  5 G15    W  5         W 10 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-022015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    70-75 (-5)   51-56        60-65
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+7)   52-57 (+1)   94-99        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  6        W  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.87         0.38         0.07
LAL                   2            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 16
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    W  5         SW  8 G16    W  9

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-022015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   72-77 (-4)   54-59        64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+6)   57-62 (+7)   92-97        49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.88         0.40         0.04
LAL                   2            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NW 15
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-022015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    72-77 (-3)   54-59        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  56-61 (+4)   93-98        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.76         0.48         0.05
LAL                   2            4            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 15
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G15    SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   71-76 (-4)   54-59        66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  59-64 (+5)   91-96        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.73         0.37         0.07
LAL                   2            5            4            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 16
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     W  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        SW  6 G15    W  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    70-75 (-7)   53-58        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  62-67 (+8)   87-92        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           60           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.88         0.35         0.04
LAL                   2            5            4            2
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 13
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   37 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    SW  6 G15    SW  6 G17    W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016 /201 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   71-76 (-6)   54-59        66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  62-67 (+7)   90-95        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           70           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.92         0.36         0.02
LAL                   2            5            4            2
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      NW 15
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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