Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 221955
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. SOME HEAVIER DOWNPOURS COULD
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS TUESDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGS A CHANCE OF RAIN TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   48-53 (-10)  37-42        46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   71-76 (+4)   95-100       60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G21                  W  8 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G27     NW 11 G27    NW 11 G25    W  6 G16
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.30         0.12         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W 13
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  W 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G27     NW 13 G27    NW 13 G25    W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   46-51 (-11)  35-40        45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   73-78 (+9)   93-98        49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G29                 NW 11 G32
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 10 G23     NW 14 G37    NW 17 G42    W  8 G23
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           20
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.07         0.32         0.14         0.01
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 18
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G29                 NW 15 G32
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G23     NW 17 G37    NW 22 G42    W 10 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-232100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   47-52 (-12)  34-39        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  66-71 (+4)   88-93        34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G40                 NW  8 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 10 G28    NW 17 G44    NW 15 G35    W  6 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           50           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.11         0.38         0.09         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     W 13
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 19 G40                 NW 10 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 12 G28    NW 22 G44    NW 18 G35    W  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-232100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   50-55 (-11)  36-41        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   64-69 (0)    90-95        39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G34                 NW  6 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G25    NW 15 G36    NW 11 G30    W  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.96         0.27         0.04         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W  8
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 19 G34                 NW  8 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 11 G25    NW 19 G36    NW 15 G30    W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-232100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   49-54 (-11)  35-40        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   65-70 (-3)   89-94        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G34                 NW  8 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G22     NW 15 G39    NW 13 G32    W  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.96         0.32         0.03         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW 12
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI                          6                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 19 G34                 NW 10 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E 11 G22     NW 19 G39    NW 16 G32    W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   49-54 (-12)  39-44        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  73-78 (+11)  91-96        53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G27                 W  7 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G23    NW 13 G31    W 13 G31     W  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.29         0.09         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 12
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G27                 W  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 11 G23    NW 17 G31    W 16 G31     W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   49-54 (-12)  38-43        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  69-74 (+4)   88-93        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G30                 W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8 G22    NW 13 G30    W 11 G28     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.17         0.04         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W  7
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 17 G30                 W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE 10 G22    NW 17 G30    W 14 G28     SW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-232100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017 /155 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   51-56 (-10)  36-41        54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   66-71 (-2)   88-93        41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 17 G37                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G27     NW 15 G37    NW 11 G30    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.09         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     W  6
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 21 G37                 NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G27     NW 19 G37    NW 13 G30    SW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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