Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 032035
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
RAINFALL WILL INCREASE IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE REGION. THE RAINFALL WILL TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OVERNIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO
ALL SNOW THURSDAY. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE SEEN ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE VALLEY...WITH A FEW INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+17)  54-59 (+5)   24-29        26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   68-73 (+4)   95-100       60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  6        NW  7
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.37         0.67         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 18
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               31 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G17                  N  9
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G17     W  6 G16     NW  8        NW  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 15. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  56-61 (+9)   29-34        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 58-63 (-6)   95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G22                 N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 10 G22    W  5         NW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.15         0.38         0.22
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 21
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G27                 N  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW 13 G28    W  7 G18     NW 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-042145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   56-61 (+7)   31-36        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   64-69 (-10)  95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G28                 N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G23     SW 12 G27    W  7 G19     N  8 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.20         0.54         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW 21
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G35                 N  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G29     SW 15 G34    W  9 G24     N  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 11 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-042145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   60-65 (+9)   31-36        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   62-67 (-17)  95-100       64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 N  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G17     SW  9 G19    W  6 G15     N  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.19         0.55         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N 21
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   23 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G24                 N  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G21     SW 11 G24    W  8 G19     N 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-042145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   61-66 (+10)  38-43        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  62-67 (-17)  95-100       53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  6        NW  8 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.13         0.45         0.11
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 20
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   9 POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         8
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 NW  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G16     SW  9 G19    SW  8 G18    NW 10 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+15)  58-63 (+7)   29-34        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   65-70 (-1)   95-100       59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        NW  6        NW  7
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.27         0.58         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 17
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 N  9
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    NW  7        NW  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+16)  58-63 (+6)   26-31        28-33
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   65-70 (-8)   95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  8
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         NW  6        N  8
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     SNOW/FZ RA
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            7            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.39         0.84         0.13
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 18
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 N 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     W  8 G16     NW  9        N 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 19. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
335 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  60-65 (+7)   29-34        30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  62-67 (-14)  95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 N 10 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SW  8 G17    NW  7        N 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.32         0.63         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     N 22
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   40 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 N 13 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW 10 G21    NW  8 G16    N 13 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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