Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 280717
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SUNSHINE TODAY WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM NICELY BY AFTERNOON.  SUMMER-LIKE
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. INCREASING
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (+8)   59-64 (+8)   85-90
RH % (24h trend)      35-40 (-18)  93-98 (+3)   37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G19     S  7 G16     SW  9 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7100                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 21
Dispersion            53 Gen good               74 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G19     S  9 G16     SW 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      77-82 (+9)   59-64 (+9)   82-87
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-23)  85-90 (-4)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     S  7 G17     S 11 G25
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    5 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      SW 17
Dispersion            39 Fair                   57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      SW 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G21     S  9 G17     S 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-290830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+10)  60-65 (+9)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      38-43 (-25)  83-88 (-6)   38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G22                  S 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G25    S 10 G25     S 12 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    5 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6300                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     SW 23
Dispersion            47 Gen good               64 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G22                  S 14 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G25    S 12 G25     S 15 G28

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-290830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (+10)  61-66 (+13)  83-88
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-15)  88-93 (-3)   41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G21                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G24     S  9 G21     S 12 G26
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    5 PM
Precip end                                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      S 24
Dispersion            60 Gen good               86 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G21                  S 13 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G24     S 10 G21     S 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in
the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-290830-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+10)  59-64 (+12)  82-87
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-18)  90-95 (-6)   43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G19                  S  9 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S  6 G18     S 11 G24
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 PM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 22
DISPERSION            56 Gen good               76 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G19                  S 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     S  8 G18     S 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290830-
East Tennessee District East-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (+10)  59-64 (+8)   86-91
RH % (24h trend)      34-39 (-23)  95-100 (+3)  38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G19     S  5         SW 10 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      SW 20
Dispersion            46 Gen good               78 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G19     S  7         SW 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Not as warm. Highs in
the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290830-
East Tennessee District West-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+9)   62-67 (+13)  86-91
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-12)  88-93 (-3)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G25     S  8 G19     S 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            10           0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       8 PM
Precip end                         8 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      SW 24
Dispersion            63 Good                   95 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5 G19                 S 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G25     S 10 G19     S 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-290830-
Cumberland District South-
317 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /217 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+10)  63-68 (+13)  86-91
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-5)   88-93 (+1)   42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G23                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G26     S  8 G21     S 12 G27
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          2 PM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      S 25
Dispersion            74 Good                   105 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G23                  S 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G26     S 10 G21     S 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Not as warm. Highs in
the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s
to upper 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up
to 10 mph.

$$



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