Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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426
FNUS73 KABR 191444
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for RTRL RX/Pile Burn...BIA
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
844 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service in Aberdeen SD.

.DISCUSSION...

The wind will generally be from a westerly direction at the burn
site today, but there are some indications it may waffle a bit
from southwest to northwest at times. Local topography and
elevation may affect this. Otherwise, expect mostly sunny skies
with afternoon humidity gradually falling into the 20s later this
afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....51-56.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 15 mph, becoming southwest
                    around 7 mph late.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl, increasing to 2600-3100 ft agl
                    late in the morning, then, decreasing to
                    200-700 ft agl in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph, increasing to 24 to 29 mph
                    late in the morning, then, becoming southwest
                    12 to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor, increasing to good late in the morning,
                    then, decreasing to poor (3200-4200) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (MST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  11  8   12  17  21  24  27  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............34  40  45  48  50  53  50  45  41
RH..............53  44  38  35  31  27  29  35  41
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  11  13  12  8   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.17  16  15  15  15  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent cloud).
Min temperature.....24-29.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100-3400).
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  23  20  17  14  11  11  10  9   16  22  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  34  32  31  30  30  29  29  28  28  27  26
RH..............48  56  61  66  69  72  72  72  71  71  74  74
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....54-59.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 17 mph with gusts up to 30 mph,
                    becoming northwest 16 to 18 mph with gusts up
                    to 30 mph early in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 21 mph, increasing to northwest 29
                    to 35 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400-7600).
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  34  36  41  45  49  49  48  48  47  45  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............26  28  31  37  44  51  55  56  55  52  48  44
RH..............74  68  61  50  39  32  27  27  29  32  39  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  13  15  16  17  18  18  17  16
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  20  25  30  30  30  30  25

$$
Forecaster...TMT
Requested by...Terrance J. Hodgkiss
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718993.0/ABR
.EMAIL terrance.hodgkiss@bia.gov



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