Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 161604
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROTHI EAST...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1104 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FETCH OF DRY AIR FROM THE EAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON...SO AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO HEAT UP BEFORE CLOUDS
BECOME THICK ENOUGH. HIGHER HUMIDITY AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA
BY THIS EVENING AS SHOWERS BEGIN TO MOVE IN. WINDS WILL BE FROM
THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AND BREEZY.

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 12200 UNTIL 1300...THEN AROUND 93100.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........56  63  67  70  75  80  86  91
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  78  79  79  80  80  81  81
RH..............26  25  24  23  23  23  23  23
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT CLOUD). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
                    0400...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........94     91     88     85     85     85
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............82     75     68     61     59     57
RH..............23     33     46     66     75     84
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 9    E 9    E 8    E 10   E 11
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD). SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1000...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1600.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........85     83     81     79     79     78
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............56     57     63     68     67     68
RH..............91     91     77     64     68     66
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 9    E 10   E 11   E 11   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...CONNELLY
REQUESTED BY...SETH GRIMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.ROTHI.01/ABR






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